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CEOs and CFOs Are Buying the Dip

May 3, 2022

The largest insider transaction on today’s list is a Form 4 filing by Simon Groom, who reported an additional $43 million purchase in the broadcasting company iHeartMedia $IHRT.

The chief financial officer at General Motors $GM, Paul Jacobson, revealed a purchase of roughly $1,357,650 worth of his own company's stock in a Form 4.

CFO activity always catches our attention as not many employees know and understand a company’s financial condition better.

All Star Charts Crypto

Taking a Tactical Long

May 3, 2022

There have been few trading opportunities in this messy tape beyond rare exceptions over short time frames.

With crypto markets shackled to weak equities, it's been a challenge to find favorable opportunities in Bitcoin $BTC and the individual altcoins.

But, in yesterday's note, we entertained the possibility of near-term upside following the pricing in of the upcoming Federal Open Market Committee meeting and the US dollar hitting resistance.

Given the favorable risk-versus-reward at current levels, we like taking a tactical long, looking to play the trading range Bitcoin finds itself in.

For this trade, we're solely leaning on Bitcoin to execute, as most alts are messy and in the process of breaking down. Those are both characteristics we want to avoid when searching for new longs.

Further, Bitcoin has outpaced its counterparts recently, as seen through Bitcoin dominance.

 

 

[Premium] Trade Of The Week

May 3, 2022

The market is messy and continues to remain so. There are only a select few names that are displaying the strength with consistency. In a messy market, that's the best area to focus on.

Read on to know more.

[PLUS] Weekly Market Notes & Breadth Trends

May 2, 2022
From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

Key Takeaway:

  • 2022 gives investors no place to hide.
  • Stocks do well when rates rise slowly - an aggressive Fed is a headwind for investors.
  • Hard to argue that a bear market has run its course when more stocks are making new lows than new highs.
The future’s market now expects 50 basis points of tightening at this week’s FOMC meeting to be followed by another 75 basis points of tightening at the June meeting. On top of the 25 basis point rate hike in March, that would be 150 basis points of tightening in just three meetings. It’s been a long time since the Fed moved at such an accelerated pace. For equities, not all tightening cycles are created equally. Stocks can hold up well when the Fed is pursuing a deliberate pace, but tend to suffer in periods when the pace of rate hikes is rapid....
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Under the Hood (05-02-2022)

May 2, 2022

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza.

Welcome back to our latest Under the Hood column where we'll cover all the action for the week ended April 29, 2022. This report is published bi-weekly and rotated with our Minor Leaguers column.

What we do here is analyze the most popular stocks during the week and find opportunities to either join in and ride these momentum names higher, or fade the crowd and bet against them.

We use a variety of sources to generate the list of most popular names.

There are so many new data sources available that all we need to do is organize and curate them in a way that shows us exactly what we want: a list of stocks that are seeing an unusual increase in investor interest.

Watch this video for a behind-the-scenes look at our process.

Whether we’re measuring increasing interest based on large...

All Star Charts Crypto

Weighing the Probabilities

May 2, 2022

The risks and key themes we discussed in our last crypto report remain unchanged.

Price action has been chopping in the high 30,000s, and there's little to update.

We're closely monitoring the tight trading correlations to traditional finance. Despite strong spot flows, this remains the most pressing driver of price action to date.

With few actionable opportunities, we're sitting back and weighing the probabilities of a number of scenarios.

Summary of Topics

 

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Follow the Flow (05-02-2022)

May 1, 2022

From the desk of Steve Strazza @sstrazza

This is one of our favorite bottom-up scans: Follow the Flow. In this note, we simply create a universe of stocks that experienced the most unusual options activity — either bullish or bearish… but NOT both.

We utilize options experts, both internally and through our partnership with The TradeXchange. Then, we dig through the level 2 details and do all the work upfront for our clients.

Our goal is to isolate only those options market splashes that represent levered and high-conviction, directional bets.

We also weed out hedging activity and ensure there are no offsetting trades that either neutralize or cap the risk on these unusual options trades.

What remains is a list of stocks that large financial institutions are putting big money behind… and they’re doing so for one reason only: because they think the stock is about to move in their direction and make them a pretty penny.

Then we flip through our list of stocks flashing unusual...

[PLUS] Weekly Top 10 Report

May 1, 2022

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Our Top 10 Charts Report was just published.

In this weekly note, we highlight 10 of the most important charts or themes we're currently seeing in asset classes around the world.

Indexes Hit New Lows

We’re seeing more and more stocks and indexes resolve lower from distribution patterns and violate critical support levels. Many more are on the brink, challenging pivot lows and threatening to follow their path.

The Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) and Russell 2000 (IWM) are excellent examples of this as both are violating their recent lows and resolving to the downside. We’re paying extra special attention to these patterns as their breakdown levels coincide with the AVWAPs from the COVID lows. These levels represent the price the average investor has paid for shares since March 2020, making them logical potential support zones.

Now that these indexes have taken out the confluence of support at their pivot lows, we’re likely to see further downside and increased volatility. Bulls need to come out and repair this damage immediately.

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