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Junior Hall of Famers (10-03-2024)

October 3, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

We love our bottoms-up scans here at All Star Charts. We tend to get really creative when making new universes as we want to be sure they will deliver us the best opportunities the market has to offer.

However, when it comes to this one, it couldn't be any simpler!

With the goal of finding more bullish setups, we have decided to expand one of our favorite scans and broaden our regular coverage of the largest US stocks.

Welcome to The Junior Hall of Famers.

This scan is composed of the next 150 largest stocks by market cap, those that come after the top 150 and are thus covered by the Hall of Famers universe. Many of these names will someday graduate and join our original Hall Of Famers list. The idea here is to catch these big trends as early on as possible.

There is no need to overcomplicate things. Market cap is a quality filter at the end of the day. It only grows if price is rising. That's good enough for us.

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Tech Underperformance in 2024

October 3, 2024

The underperformance out of Technology stocks this year continues to hurt investors who haven't been paying attention to the sector rotation.

Things haven't been getting better for Tech, they've only been getting worse.

With record returns for stocks in Q3, for example, Large-cap Technology was actually down last quarter.

Small-cap Technology is somehow still down for the entire year!

The struggle is real.

But all the major indexes keep hitting new all-time highs every month. 

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The Most Important Chart

October 2, 2024

With stock market investors looking every which way at different market-moving headlines today, let's take a step back and talk about what's really important.

We just got monthly candles. It's time to zoom out. 

And when we do, is there a chart more important than the US Dollar Index $DXY right now?

The dollar has had a very strong inverse correlation with stocks and other risk assets for several years now.

Equities have done well for the past two years while the dollar has been rangebound. 

Just imagine how they'll do if DXY breaks down from its current range:

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There's Little Buzz About Gold. But There Should Be.

October 2, 2024

Despite the recent volatility, gold continues its steady ascent, unaffected by the broader market noise. 

As seasonals have shifted and new leadership has come and gone this year, gold remains resilient, moving through market regimes with ease.

Whether stocks rally or risk-off sentiment prevails, gold thrives. The yellow metal has been red-hot all year.

In these times, the saying goes, "there is no fever like gold fever." 

But, is there any evidence of this kind of euphoria among investors yet?

While the COT report suggests sentiment may be overstretched, let’s talk about what we’re seeing on the ground.

There’s little buzz about gold in the financial media. No bold predictions of $10K gold on magazine covers, no headlines touting it as the ultimate safe haven in an impending crisis—signals that often show up at market tops. We’re just not seeing it.

For context, in 2011, fears of currency depreciation were rampant. The covers of TIME magazine and Smart Money allow us to remember this moment. They came right at the top.

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2 to 100 Club (10-02-2024)

October 2, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Welcome to The 2 to 100 Club.

In this scan, we look to identify the strongest growth stocks as they climb the market-cap ladder from small- to mid- to large- and, ultimately, to mega cap status (over $200B).

Once they graduate from small-cap to mid-cap status (over $2B), they come on our radar. Likewise, when they surpass the roughly $30B mark, they roll off our list.

But the scan doesn't just end there.

We only want to look at the strongest growth industries in the market, as that is typically where these potential 50-baggers come from.

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Sell Rosh Hashanah, Buy Yom Kippur

October 2, 2024

Reminder: Tonight @ 6PM ET is our LIVE Conference Call for Premium Members of ASC Research. This is where walk through the most important trends and share our best ideas to profit from the current sector rotation that is dominating these markets.

As a Premium Member, you also get complimentary access to our 12-week Mastermind. This week is all about Why Momentum Works and How To Profit From It. 

Click here to join us as a Premium Member of ASC Research and get access to tonight's LIVE video conference call, 24/7 access to Premium Trade Alerts and our 12-week LIVE Mastermind.

Momentum Week begins today!

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Speculators Haven't Owned This Much Gold Since 2020

September 30, 2024

Large Speculators haven't owned this much Gold since 2020. We have the data.

In precious metal bull markets, it's perfectly normal for Commercial Hedgers to offset their physical positions by shorting the underlying futures contracts.

We also tend to see the Speculators build massive net-long positions.

Check out the extreme Commercial Hedger net-short position in Gold and Silver futures:

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ASC Mastermind Lab: Investing and Human Behavior with Phil Pearlman

September 30, 2024

Below is the 3rd ASC Mastermind Lab Course. These are special videos that will be made available throughout the duration of the 12-week course featuring conversations with professionals from across Wall Street discussing topics in their expertise. 

The theme of the first week of ASC Mastermind is focusing on defining personal objectives. So I thought I'd talk to a friend of mine who helps people reach their goals for a living: Dr. Phil Pearlman. 

Phil is the founder of The Pearl Institute, where he works directly with clients, many of whom are professional traders and investors, to improve their mental and physical health. He also writes a tremendous Substack.    

Phil's ability to tie together human psychology, mental health, and financial markets is second to none. I hope you enjoy.  

 

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ASC Mastermind Lab: Managing Your Portfolio with Stephen Weitzel

September 30, 2024

Below is the 2nd ASC Mastermind Lab Course. These are special videos that will be made available throughout the duration of the 12-week course featuring conversations with professionals from across Wall Street discussing topics in their expertise. 

With the first Mastermind class focusing on defining personal objectives, it only makes sense for me to get an advisor's perspective. That's where Stephen Weitzel comes in. 

Stephen is the Managing Partner, Reveille Wealth Management, a firm with over $1 billion in assets under management. And the things I discussed in our first class are the very things he discusses with clients every day. 

How do you identify your own time horizon and risk tolerance? Should you just buy and hold forever? What can you do to minimize drawdowns?

At the end of the day, Stephen is both managing and building wealth for his clients. And his ability to answer these questions is part of what helps him do that. 

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Under The Hood (09-30-2024)

September 30, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza.

Welcome back to Under the Hood, where we'll cover all the action for the two weeks ended September 27, 2024. This report is published bi-weekly, in rotation with The Minor Leaguers.

What we do here is analyze the most popular stocks during the week and find opportunities to either join in and ride these momentum names higher, or fade the crowd and bet against them.

We use a variety of sources to generate the list of most popular names.

There are so many new data sources available that all we need to do is organize and curate them in a way that shows us exactly what we want: a list of stocks that are seeing an unusual increase in investor interest.