The TSX Composite is down roughly 6.75% year-to-date, with stocks getting hit hard since their July 13th, 2018 high. Only one sector is positive over that time period, but I think its recent...
Counter-trend trades are lower probability by nature, which means risk management is vital both when they work and when they don't. Taking the loss and reevaluating when the trade thesis is invalidated is something most traders think about, but...
It is not often that we fade stocks here at All Star Options. Mostly, we like to identify emerging trends or smart entry points in long established trends and hop along opportunistically for the ride. But given the market environment we're in, we...
Small-caps have been lagging for most of the year with that trend really accelerating in May, posing a major headwind for the broader market. One thing we...
Rates are at multi-year highs and bond prices are at multi-year lows. This has been the trend. We've been in the camp that rates would break out above 3% and that 4% was next. This has been logical target for a variety of reasons, but today that is...
There's something fishy going on in Interest Rates and the U.S. Bond market right now. We've been bearish bonds and constructive about higher interest rates for as long as I can remember. This has worked out well. It was a big part of the bullish...
I've just updated the Monthly Chartbook, and although October was a rough month for the equity market, our opinions really haven't changed all that much...
I am really enjoying these conversations with Phil Pearlman. This is the 3rd episode we do where we're discussing important topics about our feelings and emotions. Today's topic is Grit, and the advantages that someone with grit has these days over...
In corrective and bear markets, bounces and false rallies are powerful and swift. They should not be feared, but they should be respected. And the patient among us will use these rallies for better entry points on our short ideas.
As you guys know, we've been rooting for a stock market crash for most of October. When we're shorting stocks, we want the market to drop as fast as possible so we...
The last two months have not been kind to India's stock market, which is why we've been approaching it from a more neutral perspective for most of that time. Although big selloffs are never fun, the progression of this trend from its start to now has...
Welcome to the new market regime, young lads. Many of us, and many more that are way older than me, have seen plenty of bear markets. At our shop, we rely heavily on global markets to give us information about stocks as an asset class, so we're...
The market is a beautiful thing. We have uptrends and we have downtrends. We weigh the evidence regularly to determine which one of these we’re in, or if it's a sideways trend. Our approach to the market has to depend on the market environment we have...
Over the weekend I ran the performance metrics of the Russell 3000's Sectors and Industries to get some perspective on where the leadership is since the S&P 500's high on October 3rd and...
It has been a wild couple of weeks for participants in US equities. Up is down. Black is White. Dogs sleeping with cats. This is what happens when market regimes go through change. The ripples can be seismic.
The big question coming into this wasn't whether or not we wanted to be sellers of stocks, but how low could stocks go? The point I tried to make was that they could go a lot lower than any of us think. I've been around too long and have seen too much...
Disney is another stock that has been on our watch list for a short trade, but has stubbornly held on... until today. We had been waiting for $DIS to close below $113 and on Wednesday our criteria was finally met.
When the stock market is not going up, the blame game gets played. It's a combination of shareholders losing money and media types needing something to say. It's always someone or something's fault and rarely described as a normal occurrence. The...
When the weight of the evidence is pointing in one direction as it has been for most of the last two years, it makes sense to be aggressive and take advantage of the clear trends while they're...
