Believe it or not, there's a "tech" stock out there that is ripe for a short trade.

I know, I know.... shocking. I was surprised too.

And it's offering a nice bounce to sell into today, so let's get to it!

Our view remains that this is a new bull market in stocks, so we want to continue using any weakness towards 10,000 in the Nifty 50 to be adding exposure. With that said, just as we would pull the weeds out of our garden periodically to keep it healthy, we want to do the same with our portfolios.

And what better time to review your portfolio than at the end of the quarter?

In this post, we're going to show a few examples of stocks that remain out of favor...and their characteristics, so that you can identify any of the weeds in your portfolio and determine the best course of action for them.

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

New Mystery Chart!

For those new to the exercise, we take a chart of interest and remove the x/y-axes and any other labels that would help identify it. The chart can be any security in any asset class on any timeframe on an absolute or relative basis. Maybe it’s a custom index or inverted, who knows!

We do all this to put aside the biases we have associated with this specific security/the market and come to a conclusion based solely on price.

You can guess what it is if you must, but the real value comes from sharing what you would do right now. Buy, Sell, or Do Nothing?

In this episode of The Money Game, Phil wanted to talk about the importance of exercise. He compares the human mind and body to auto racing and how in order to succeed, the car must be in great condition. For Financial Advisors, Traders, Portfolio Managers and Analysts, we regularly go through very stressful times, and in other cases very boring times. In order to put ourselves in a position to excel, we need to have our minds right. The best way to make sure the mind is in top working order, is to make sure the body isn't being ignored. They work together.

Phil reiterates a lot of points that are probably familiar to a lot of us who focus on physical and mental health, which is fantastic. But for those of you looking for a spark, just to get the ball rolling, Phil offers some advice on easy ways to get started. He also discusses the Height-to-Waste Ratio and what we should be looking for. I thought that was really helpful too.

I encourage you to sign up for Phil Pearlman's FREE weekly newsletter: ...

Last month I shared a video of my Happy Hour with Traders Kimmy Sokoloff and Joe Fahmy. You guys sent in amazing feedback and I really enjoyed doing it. So today, I want to give you a peak at my conversation with Andrew Thrasher and Dan Russo. They both love drinking wine and we've always had that in common, so we discussed some of our favorites as well as our thoughts on the stock market and bond market.

It's cool to be able to sit back and relax with two of the smartest guys out there and hear what they have to say. I hope you enjoy!

A recent favorite among Robinhood traders, Facebook $FB is consolidating near all time highs and put in a clearly defined risk management level last week that gives us a great level to lean against on the long side:

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

For the week ended Thursday, July 2, 2020:

Every week we publish performance tables for a variety of different asset classes and categories along with commentary on each.

Being Independence Day weekend, we're going to highlight the continued structural outperformance from the US vs rest of the world in this week's post. As a good patriot and technician, I would be remiss not to take this opportunity to reflect on how grateful US investors should be.

Here are our US Index ETF and Global Index tables.

Imagine if your retirement or savings account was invested in a FTSE 100 fund over the past year...When you compare the S&P 500 $SPY or Wilshire 5000 $DWC to foreign indexes and International ETFs, the outperformance over the past year is modest at best. Although, if you've been focusing on and investing in the best stocks in the US like we...

About a month ago we outlined that the US Dollar was at key support relative to a basket of Emerging Market Currencies, one of which is the Indian Rupee, and that its upward trend was likely to continue.

After some brief strength following this post, we're seeing the US Dollar continue to weaken...which raises the question of whether it's losing its leadership position against the world's major currencies.

I've learned a lot of things and met some amazing people during my trips to India over the years. One of them is the original meaning of the word "Guru".

You see, in America it definitely has a negative connotation. Most people I speak to don't even know what "guru" actually means. For us, it's usually a charlatan-type that no one likes. They usually know less than most and typically do much more harm to their audience than good. You'll often see them buying twitter followers and spamming your LinkedIn messages.

In marketing parlance, they refer to the "Guru" as the guy (usually male) who they spend all their time on marketing and making them look good. The better and smarter the “guru” appears to be, the more money that comes in, and the more profits for the marketing company, regardless of how completely full of it they actually are.

In America, whenever you hear, "Financial Guru", usually you want to run away as fast as possible.

But the truth is, Guru Purnima is one of the most beautiful concepts I've ever learned about. This unique festival on the...

I find myself on Zoom calls all the time. How about you?

Did you notice that the Communications Index is pushing up against new all-time highs? Did you notice that during the March decline, communications held above their late 2018 lows?

I think all of this points to us paying a little more attention to what's going on in the space.

First of all, check out the Communications Services Index holding above former resistance the past 2 years. That alone is impressive. If we're above 272, there is no reason to be pessimistic about Communications Stocks:

In early May we outlined the "Five Bull Market Barometers" we're watching to identify the beginning of a new bull market in stocks.

If you haven't read our initial post linked above, we'd encourage you to check it out so you understand what the rationale behind these five indicators is.

Now, let's see where these indicators ended the week.

One of the things that really caught my attention during our Monthly Chart Review for June was that the Nifty Auto Sector is approaching resistance on an absolute basis, as are some of the sector's largest components.

In this post, I want to dig into the sector and identify if there's still opportunity in the sector on the long side.

First, let's take a look at the Nifty Auto Index weekly chart on an absolute basis. Prices briefly broke below support at 5,200 in March and quickly reversed, sparking a rally towards resistance near 7,000 where we sit today.

This is a multi-year level of resistance, so we're likely to see some consolidation after a 57% rally off the March lows. For now, 7,000 is the line in the sand. If prices are above that, then Auto's can see further upside towards 9,300, but below 7,000 then there's too much downside risk and opportunity cost in being aggressively long the sector.

Click on chart to enlarge view.

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