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Stocks Are In An Uptrend

August 8, 2020

I don't know if I've made myself clear enough. It's getting pretty obnoxious at this point isn't it?

We talk about this internally sometimes (ahem strazza), that we sound like a broken record.

My response is that we should be aware of our own behavior. The simple fact that we are recognizing, that yes, we are indeed being super annoying and just saying the same things over and over again, is information. It's really important to identify that.

Why? What does this mean? To me, it means that what's been working keeps working. And what needed to start working for those things to continue are working now too.

Exhibit A has to be the Dow Jones Transportation Average breaking out to new highs BEFORE the Dow Jones Industrial Average. Wait, What???? New phone who dis? 

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Playing The Natural Gas Bull Market

August 8, 2020

From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting

Precious Metals are getting all of the Commodity attention these days, but the truth is there is a lot more opportunity in the space than just Metals.

In this post, I want to outline why we think Natural Gas is in a new bull market and how we're taking advantage of it.

Here's the weekly chart of Natural Gas we've been using as a roadmap for the last few years. In March, prices approached long-term support near 1.60 and volatility began to pick up, signaling to us that a trend change was potentially underway. And on top of that, momentum failed to get oversold which suggested sellers were getting exhausted.

Click on chart to enlarge view.

After an initial bounce in the second quarter, prices briefly undercut support at 1.60 before reversing sharply. Since then they've stabilized above support...

[Video] "What The FICC?" - Bruni's New Weekly Show

August 7, 2020

From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting

The Fixed Income, Commodity, and Currency markets are near and dear to my heart. Ever since I began learning Technical Analysis, I've always loved analyzing things that are "off the beaten path." This included everything from Interest Rates to Soybeans to the Norwegian Krone. Equities are great and all, but this is the stuff that gets me up in the morning.

In addition to the blog posts we do on the site, I've wanted to explore new ways to share that passion with you all and show why even if you're not investing in these markets directly, they're worth paying attention to.

That brings us to my new weekly show, "What The FICC?"

In this weekly video series, I'll be highlighting the most important chart or theme from these three asset classes while doing my best to tie that analysis back to Equities through an intermarket signal or a trade idea.

The first two pilot episodes are linked down below. I hope you enjoy them and look forward to seeing you all back here each week for a new episode!

Cautionary Levels For Precious Metals

August 7, 2020

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Thanks to everyone who participated in this week's Mystery Chart. Most of you either wanted to buy or do nothing and wait for more information.

The chart was the iShares Global Silver Miners ETF $SLVP. We're bullish metals so we agree and want to be buying this over the long-term as well.

With that said, we want to be cautious at current levels for reasons we'll outline in this post. First, let's look at the updated chart.

Podcast: Panic with Friends, Bull Market Edition

August 6, 2020

I feel like at this point if they're not on my podcast, I'm on theirs. It's pretty funny when you think about it.

The idea here is to just continue the conversation. It's been a habit of mine for decades. Whether it's over dinner, cocktails, on someone's podcast, video, doesn't matter. I've found it really helpful to talk to smart people on a regular basis.

One of the things I enjoy most is learning more about technology, particularly fintech, and what sorts of tools we're going to use in the future. This is the greatest time to be alive in human history. I'm on the edge of my seat every day waiting for what's next. In some cases, we're the ones building what's next, and that's also really cool to watch. The way I see it, if we're not investing in Technology, it's a big mistake. We know what we think will be helpful to us internally better than anyone else. So why shouldn't we just build it? (we're looking to hire 2 more engineers: Ping Me).

Howard Lindzon is one of the guys I've always turned to with questions about all of the above: Fintech, Trading tools and what's in store for the next 5...

[Video] Behind The Scenes at All Star Charts: Team Meeting, The Building of our Q3 Playbook

August 5, 2020

This is a behind the scenes video of our team meeting held on July 6, 2020 4PM ET.

Every quarter we put out our Playbook focusing on the most important themes around the world to take advantage of, and just as importantly, which areas to avoid. This is usually about 150 pages and really dives deep into stocks, rates, commodities, forex and the intermarket relationships between all of them.

I hope this gives you some perspective on how we approach markets using our Top/Down Approach. We've always found it helpful to understand where people are coming from and why they say certain things. I hope this can give you some of that context about us. I think it also helps you get to know our team a little better. Enjoy!

[Options] He Ain't No Mister Softee No More

August 5, 2020

Anyone who traded in the late 90's only referred to Microsoft stock as "Mister Softee." It was stupid, as many stock nicknames were, but that's what it was. And you seemingly couldn't go a day without hearing "Mister Softee is making new highs!" from summer 1998 until early 2000.

I almost have PTSD from it.

Fast forward to today. Microsoft doesn't get the same media attention today as it did back then, now being overshadowed by the Amazons, Facebooks, Googles, Apples, and Teslas, of the world. But the price action is definitely giving me flashbacks.

And the ASC research team has a gaudy 323 price target for Microsoft $MSFT over the next several months which has me interested in playing along with options.

Louis' Look (08-04-2020)

August 4, 2020

From the desk of Louis Sykes @haumicharts

I’ve been incredibly fortunate to become the latest intern here at All Star Charts and as a part of the role, I’ll be writing a weekly note for the blog - documenting what I’m learning about technical analysis from the perspective of an intern.

Without further adieu, let’s jump into what stuck out to me this week.

[Video] Big Trends Monthly w/ Josh Brown

August 4, 2020

Welcome to my new Monthly show that I'm doing with my friend Josh Brown. He is one of the most widely followed Financial Advisors in the country, and someone who I've been arguing with about markets for the better part of 2 decades.

Every month I'll bring a handful of the the most important Monthly charts that stood out during my review. In our first episode, I wanted to discuss the S&P500 making new all-time highs, Transports leading the way in July, Rates hitting new all-time lows and Bitcoin starting a new breakout.

This is the chart that I think tells the July story best. The further to the left the asset is, the closer it is to a new a 52 week high. The higher up the asset, the better its performance in July. Notice Transports in the upper right: Relative weakness overall, BUT the best performer this month, followed by Emerging Markets, Gold and base metals. The lonely US Dollar down below stands out doesn't it? 

US Rates Make New All-time Lows

August 4, 2020

This weekend we got a fresh batch of new Monthly Candlesticks. If you're not using these charts to help you identify primary trends, I think you're doing yourself a disservice. I rarely push a particular strategy or process. I usually just like to present the data, give you my conclusions, and then let you decide how, or if, you want to use it.

But for this, I don't care who you are, Monthly Charts are an invaluable tool. Even if you're a short-term trader or swing trader, we want to put all of that work into context, recognizing the major trends that are in place. Trust me, go build your own list of the most important charts and flip through them just once at the end of each month. I challenge you to start doing that every month and then come and tell me that it's not helpful. I dare you!

Anyway, every time I go through this exercise, there are always a few things that stand out. This time around, I'd be remiss if I didn't point out the new All-time lows in US Interest Rates. Whether you're looking at...