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[Premium] Making Cents Out Of US Dollars

May 22, 2019

From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting

The US Dollar has frustrated the majority of market participants this year, particularly if they're only looking at the US Dollar Index.

With that said, we've been focused on other US Dollar pairs that aren't getting much attention but are trending well and providing us with plenty of opportunities.

All Star Interviews Season 2, Episode 22: Paul Ciana, Chief FICC Technical Strategist at Bank of America Merrill Lynch Global Research

May 9, 2019

Paul Ciana and I go way back to 2006 when him and I were studying for the CMT exams together. Today, Paul is the Chief FICC Technical Strategist at Bank of America Merrill Lynch Global Research. In English, that means everything outside of equities. It's nice to see your friends succeed and watching him crush it is definitely one for the good guys.

In this podcast episode we dive deep into the FX world where Paul walks us through 3 important currency pairs that all stock market investors should follow. We talk about Crude Oil and Gold and other precious metals. The Dollar is a key focus right now for both Paul and me, so we get into what the implications are for stocks and other assets around the world.

I really enjoyed this conversation. It could have gone on for hours...

US Dollars Are Steering The Ship

April 17, 2019

A big theme for me this year has been the US Dollar and how it will impact stocks as an asset class. The thought process coming into 2019 was simple. The Dollar had rallied throughout 2018 to reach some pretty critical levels. The idea was that if the Dollar was going to rip right through there, it was more than likely happening in an environment where investors would be fleeing to safety. That's the type of market where stocks are selling off. The opposite of that argument was that if the Dollar was not breaking out, that stocks would likely be doing well, both in the U.S. and more importantly globally.

Fast forward to today, almost 1/3 of the way done with the year, and stock have performed very well. In fact, as Piper Jaffray's Craig Johnson mentioned in this week's podcast, stocks have had an incredible entire year already, just a few...

The US Dollar and US Equity Relative Performance

March 23, 2019

From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting

If the US Dollar is falling, International Equities trading via US listed ETFs should outperform US Stocks. When the US Dollar is rising, International Equities should underperform US Stocks.

Sounds like a logical relationship, but as usual, it's not that simple.

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[Premium] An Interesting Global ETF Theme

March 23, 2019

From the desk of Tom Bruni @BruniCharting

During last week's Conference Call we discussed a lot of the potential catalysts for a lower US Dollar, so I wrote a free post talking about whether a weaker US Dollar means US stocks have to underperform International stocks. If you haven't read that, please do that first, because in this post I'm going to quickly touch on a short-term theme that continues to build within our Global ETF Ratio universe.