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All Star Options

[Options Premium] A Bridge to One Hundred

May 21, 2025

It's been awhile since I've talked about one of my favorite setups: The Hundred-Dolla-Roll!

Stocks that are making fresh-all time highs above $80 per share tend to run to $100. Not all in one day. But the tractor beam, magnet, whatever you want to call the collective market mindset that is responsible for moves just seems to pull stocks to that big, round, sexy number.

Markets and prices are driven by humans (and the algorithms we write), and human behavior is sometimes so predictably reliable.

We've got a trade today that is taking advantage of this reliability.

All Star Options

[Options Premium] Viva Outperformance!

May 19, 2025

Today's trade is in a $39B leading provider of software solutions for the global life sciences sector that is on the verge of breaking multi-year highs with an eye towards making a run at all-time highs.

There is an earnings release coming up soon which I think will be the catalyst to get the move underway.

All Star Options

[Options Premium] #FAAFO

May 16, 2025

I talk all the time about how the options market makers are not stupid. Options are priced the way they are, when they are, because options market makers know what they are doing. Usually.

But once in a blue moon, they can get caught sleeping. 

I think I may have found one such opportunity and I want to pounce on it today.

All Star Options

[Options Premium] What's a Quantum?

May 14, 2025

Going to keep this post short today. I'm writing live from the Portfolio Accelerator event in New Orleans. Our friend Riley Rosebee is presenting as I'm typing and he is talking about stocks in companies The Jetson's would invest in.

One he brought up caught my attention because the chart looks ripe for a big pop.

All Star Options

[Options Premium] Get On This Bike and Ride!

May 9, 2025

Stretch your legs and call this THE RE-AWAKENING TRADE. Implied volatility is through the floor in today's name, as traders have been bored to sleep on this former high-flier, making long-term calls cheap and a great potential reward-to-risk. 

All Star Options

[Options Premium] Leveraged Hedge

May 7, 2025

My gut tells me the odds of a pullback in the markets are increasing. And the next pullback in the direction back to recent lows will likely come with a lot of noise. There will be lots of shouts about "retesting lows," from some camps, and other shouts of "this was just a dead cat bounce, we're going much lower!" from other camps.

I have a hunch of how that plays out, which I discussed on this morning's Options Jam Session.

But if the market gets slippery here, and especially if the shouting class gets it right, I think housing sector stocks are vulnerable.

All Star Options

[Options Premium] Run It Back

May 5, 2025

Today's trade is a similar trade to the one I did in Kingsoft Computing last week. It's a bet on a previous highfligher, who had it's legs kicked out from under it during the recent market turmoil, that appears to be setting up to resume its former prominence.

All Star Options

[Options Premium] Churchill is Going Downs

April 30, 2025

Sorry for the obnoxious title. Sometimes, these things just write themselves.

You would think that a company involved in sports betting would be doing well, considering it seems I can't escape the barrage of advertising for sports betting apps I'm seeing everywhere I turn.

Apparently, there is a company in this space that can't seem to figure it out. Or at least, that's what their stock price action is saying. 

All Star Options

[Options Premium] Remember Groupon?

April 25, 2025

During a recent Analyst meeting, it was discussed now that we're getting further confirmation that the lows may be in for the broader stock market, it's time to start shifting our attention to stocks that displayed strong relative strength in recent months.

The chart of Groupon $GRPN (remember them?) is exhibit A for relative strength as it's on the verge of printing new multi-year highs. And the team feels if this one goes, the stock could double. If it does, some strategically selected long calls could pay handsomely.