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All Star Options

[Options Premium] A Cautiously Bullish Bet in Retail

May 21, 2020

Ok, I have to be honest here. I'm not incredibly bullish at these prices. As much as I try to divorce myself from the news cycle and the fundamentals, its hard to think NOW is the time to get long.

That said, only price pays, and charts and declining volatility in many stocks is telling different stories.

The beautiful thing is I can express bullish trades with options and clearly define my risk. Here's one that looks like a good risk reward:

 

 

 

 

 

All Star Options

[Options Premium] Gap and Go

May 12, 2020

In a recent blog post, JC highlighted some bullish stocks that he can simply no longer ignore. Regardless of whether or not we feel the upside may be close to exhausting itself in the broader markets, there are some setups that are screaming for attention.

I'm game. Let's play along.

 

 

 

 

 

 

All Star Options

[Options Premium] Let's Do it Again

May 8, 2020

For the past week or so, it's been a feeling to me that markets are setting up for some sideways chop with any directional bias being to the downside from here.

Meanwhile, options volatilities still remain elevated across the board (though well off the March highs) reflecting a lingering fear among market participants of another shoe to drop as the Coronavirus scare continues to effect human health and the global economy.

Against this backdrop, I'm looking for some delta-neutral credit spread strategies to employ. When doing so, I like to scan the most liquid ETFs and look for the ones exhibiting the highest premiums.

All Star Options

[Options Premium] A Counterintuitive Short

April 27, 2020

It would seem that the "new" economy we live in -- one where we order everything online for fear of walking into stores -- would benefit the companies that provide the infrastructure and transportation to make that happen. Fundamentally, that makes sense. But we're chart readers here, and the charts are telling us something different.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

All Star Options

[Options Premium] Selling the Big Cat

April 24, 2020

The guys at ASC are out with a piece this week highlighting the weakness under the hood in some of the biggest sectors in the US Stock Market. Read it here.

One of the poster children for weakness we want to get short ahead of another possible leg down is setting up right now.

 

 

 

 

 

All Star Options

[Options Premium] Getting Short the Russell

April 17, 2020

Since I've got a little positive delta building in my portfolio and I'm leaning towards the market feeling a bit overextended here, I'm adding a little negative delta in an index to help balance the risks in my portfolio a bit.

And of course, it makes the most sense to get short the weakest (in relative terms) index to express this hedge.

 

 

 

 

All Star Options

[Options Premium] Taking a Shine to Silver

April 13, 2020

Options premiums are still pretty elevated across the landscape and the default mode for me when looking for trades to put on is still to prefer selling premium to express any directional bets.

However, JC put some bullish metals ideas in my head last week that are starting to look interesting to me. And there's one in particular that warrants a shot with a debit spread -- where we can use the prevalence of still high options premiums to help us lower our cost of participation in a directional bet.