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[Options] May Positions Review

May 1, 2020

As May gets under way, it’s time to review positions with May options that remain open (haven’t already hit profit targets or been stopped out).

Most trades I put on for All Star Options tend to have a minimum duration of 30 days (short premium plays) and often as long as 6-8 months (for long premium plays). As options approach expiration, greeks like theta and gamma start to become my enemy and whipsaw my P/L. Therefore, as options and spreads get into the expiration month, my best practice is to put each position on notice — it’s time to take action.

[Options] The Trend is Golden

April 29, 2020

Gold bugs sure have a lot to chirp about these days with theoretically unlimited money printing happening here in the US and around the world.

And this chart showing the performance of Gold relative to the S&P 500 shows a definitive upward trend in favor of Gold outperformance.

The million dollar question is, is this gold outperformance waning here? Or will the trend reassert itself soon?

All Star Options

[Options Premium] A Counterintuitive Short

April 27, 2020

It would seem that the "new" economy we live in -- one where we order everything online for fear of walking into stores -- would benefit the companies that provide the infrastructure and transportation to make that happen. Fundamentally, that makes sense. But we're chart readers here, and the charts are telling us something different.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

All Star Options

[Options Premium] Selling the Big Cat

April 24, 2020

The guys at ASC are out with a piece this week highlighting the weakness under the hood in some of the biggest sectors in the US Stock Market. Read it here.

One of the poster children for weakness we want to get short ahead of another possible leg down is setting up right now.

 

 

 

 

 

All Star Options

[Options Premium] Getting Short the Russell

April 17, 2020

Since I've got a little positive delta building in my portfolio and I'm leaning towards the market feeling a bit overextended here, I'm adding a little negative delta in an index to help balance the risks in my portfolio a bit.

And of course, it makes the most sense to get short the weakest (in relative terms) index to express this hedge.

 

 

 

 

I Googled This Trade Idea

April 15, 2020

Say what you will about stock market action since the equities bottom was put in on March 23rd, but either way you can't not be impressed.

Do we go higher from here?

I don't know the answer (hint: neither do you), but I do know that if we do, we're going to be continually led by the leaders in this bounce so far. And one of those leaders is the stock who's company everyone uses -- in some way -- whether you realize it or not: Google.

All Star Options

[Options Premium] Taking a Shine to Silver

April 13, 2020

Options premiums are still pretty elevated across the landscape and the default mode for me when looking for trades to put on is still to prefer selling premium to express any directional bets.

However, JC put some bullish metals ideas in my head last week that are starting to look interesting to me. And there's one in particular that warrants a shot with a debit spread -- where we can use the prevalence of still high options premiums to help us lower our cost of participation in a directional bet.