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All Star Options

[Options Premium] Submerging Markets?

February 10, 2020

JC is out with a piece today that is bearish on Latin America broadly, and more specifically, Mecradolibre $MELI.

Here's the money line:

Here is the chart showing Mecradolibre failing once again near this 677 level that has been trouble since last year. There is clearly still an overwhelming amount of supply here. The bet is that $MELI gets back down to 517, which would put it near the lower end of this multi-year range:

The stock is expensive so if getting short a $650 stock feels pretty unappealing to you, I've got an options trade that may be more palatable.

 

 

All Star Options

[Options Premium] Fade the Noise

February 7, 2020

It's been an interesting couple of weeks, eh? Tesla put on a show, Coronavirus, we've gotten a little two-sided action in the broader markets, and volatility reminded us it still exists. But as we know, volatility fades. And right now, there is some elevated premium levels too tempting to ignore. So we're selling some premium here.

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[Options Premium] It's a Miracle!

January 31, 2020

"It's a Miracle!" has probably been uttered through tears by stock market bears, news watchers, and particularly Tesla $TSLA bears repeatedly in recent weeks. We're not sorry. If you ignore price action, well... that's on you, friendo.

That said, we've got our own "miracle" play that is setting up nicely...

All Star Options

[Options Premium] Juicy Premiums

January 27, 2020

Well here we are, the first "panic" of 2020. Markets are selling off a bit, the TV and twitter birds are chirping, trying their best to get you to act irresponsibly in your portfolio.  And maybe you're even feeling a bit of unfamiliar heat on some of your long positions. Time to get scared, right?

Maybe. I dunno. But this I do know -- fear subsides. And in options trading parlance, volatility mean reverts. I'm stepping in and selling the fear today.

[Options] A Teachable Moment in $BYND

January 21, 2020

Wow.

What a run we're having in our Long May 100-strike calls in $BYND purchased on December 20th for $4.00 when the stock was trading below $77/share.

I wish I could say this was a regular occurrence, but of course we know this isn't true. However, this I know with absolute certainty: stepping up to the plate and taking our swings in trades with proper reward-to-risk setups, appropriate position size, and a plan for risk management again and again allows us to "get lucky" every once in a while. And sometimes it only takes one or two trades to make your month or your year. This $BYND trade certainly has a solid chance to become one of those year-makers.

Back to luck, there's a big difference between true "luck" like winning the lottery, and manufacturing your own luck through Best Practices. Which luck would you rather have?

I've been contacted a bunch by people who followed us into this trade and the general feeling I get from people is that they are scared -- scared of letting these enormous open profits get taken away by the evil Mr. Market.

[Options] Ice, Ice, Baby

January 15, 2020

So we've been keeping an eye of the Broker/Dealers space, and one of the names we have a close eye on has triggered our entry. Here's Bruni:

Intercontinental Exchange ($ICE) is consolidating tightly since August and now pressing up against all-time highs. A breakout above 95.50 would signal the continuation of its long-term uptrend and target 103.50 over the next 3-6 months.

Today, we're getting that breakout above 95.50: