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The Weekly Beat 📈

Earnings are the heartbeat of the market, and every week brings a fresh set of opportunities and risks. 

With each report, we get new information on corporate health, investor sentiment, and where money is rotating.

In the Weekly Beat, we spotlight the most important earnings reactions from the prior week: the winners, the losers, and the surprises that moved markets. 

Then we shift our focus to the week ahead, breaking down the technicals and fundamentals.

Whether it’s mega-cap leaders, niche growth stories, or the sectors most tied to the economy, we’ve got you covered on what traders need to know right now.

What happened last week 👇

  • Monday:
    • There were no S&P 500 earnings reactions to cover, so we dove into one of our favorite software stocks: Unity Software $U.
    • This is a $19 billion software platform at the center of interactive entertainment, powering everything from mobile games and console titles to AR/VR experiences and real-time 3D applications. More importantly, the market loves what they're doing.
  • Tuesday:
    • Again, there were no S&P 500 earnings reactions to cover, so we wrote about one of our favorite Latin American stocks. Its name is Cemex $CX.
    • CX is consistently being rewarded for its earnings events, and the price is on the cusp of breaking out of a massive base.
  • Wednesday:
    • Once again, there were no S&P 500 earnings reactions to cover, so we wrote about an emerging leader in financials: Ally Financial $ALLY.
    • After suffering its longest earnings beatdown streak ever in 2022, Ally snapped that negative cycle in Q1 2023 with a more than 20% post-earnings rally, the strongest reaction in the stock’s history. Since then, shareholders have consistently been rewarded for the company's earnings events.
  • Thursday:
    • New Year's Day 🍾🎉
  • Friday:
    • Finally, there were no S&P 500 earnings reactions to cover, so we wrote about one of our favorite small-cap turnaround stories. The stock's name is Upwork $UPWK, and it operates the world’s largest human-and-AI powered work marketplace, connecting businesses with global talent across freelance, fractional, and enterprise work. 
    • The latest report triggered a +13% post-earnings move, and it wasn’t an isolated event. Upwork has now been rewarded for five consecutive earnings reports, a stark contrast to the choppy, often negative reactions that defined the stock’s prior regime. Additionally, the stock is on the cusp of entering a brand-new primary uptrend.

What's happening next week 👇

Once again, we’re not going to pretend there’s much to preview on the earnings calendar next week.

It’s quiet. Very quiet.

But rather than force commentary where none is needed, we want to use this lull to give you another early look at what’s coming in the Beat Quarterly, our upcoming deep dive into how the market actually responded to earnings.

Last week, we showed you how this framework uncovered broad, underappreciated strength in the Healthcare sector.

This week, we’re turning to Energy, where the shift beneath the surface may be even more important.

The first chart tells the story immediately.

In Q2, Energy stocks posted an average negative reaction score to earnings. Despite headline beats in some cases, the market consistently faded results and punished shareholders.

In Q3, that changed completely.

Energy delivered the strongest average reaction score of any sector, flipping decisively from negative to positive. 

This is the market telling us that something fundamental has shifted in how investors are interpreting results.

And this improvement wasn’t driven by one or two outliers.

The sector breakdown confirms it.

There were no double misses in Energy this quarter. Not one.

Half of the sector delivered true double beats, exceeding expectations on both revenue and earnings. The other half produced mixed results, but even those were not met with harsh punishment.

When misses are scarce and penalties are limited, it creates a favorable backdrop for sustained trends rather than short-lived rallies.

Finally, when we dig into the individual names, it's clear which stocks investors are favoring right now.

At the top end of the distribution, the reactions were exceptional.

Several Energy stocks posted reaction scores above +4, including Coterra Energy $CTRA, Texas Pacific Land $TPL, Halliburton $HAL, and APA $APA. 

These weren’t just strong one-day pops. They saw sustained upside follow-through, as buyers stepped in with size and stayed involved.

Equally important is what’s missing on the downside. There are losers, of course, but the negative reactions were isolated rather than systemic. 

That asymmetry, powerful upside responses paired with limited downside punishment, is exactly what we look for when assessing whether earnings are reinforcing or undermining a trend.

This is the core of what the Beat Quarterly is designed to capture.

Not whether companies “beat” or “missed” consensus.

Not headlines or narratives.

But how the market actually responds when new information hits the tape.

Energy’s earnings season passed that test with flying colors.

With no major earnings reports scheduled next week, this felt like the right moment to step back and focus on what the data is quietly telling us. 

The improvement in Energy wasn’t loud, but it was decisive.

And if the market continues to reward shareholders this way, it’s a signal we can’t ignore.

This is just another preview of what’s coming soon in the Beat Quarterly. We’ll expand this analysis across sectors, styles, and themes, using reaction quality to distinguish real leadership from noise.

We hope you enjoyed this special edition of the Weekly Beat!

-The Beat Team


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