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Two Breakdowns We Can’t Ignore

Thursday’s market looked healthy on the surface, but Kroger and Accenture delivered two major warnings underneath.

Thursday looked fine at the index level as the S&P 500 rallied 0.78%, reclaimed its all-time high VWAP, and quickly repaired the damage from Wednesday’s Fed-driven selloff. 

If you were only watching the major averages, the message looked simple enough: buyers stepped back in, and risk appetite improved.

But underneath the surface, the earnings tape told a much uglier story.

We previewed both of Thursday’s earnings reactions in Sunday’s Weekly Beat because Kroger and Accenture each had something important to prove.

Kroger $KR needed to defend $62.75 and keep its streak of positive earnings sentiment alive. 

Accenture $ACN needed to prove that last quarter’s positive reaction was the start of a real repair process after a brutal 2026 decline.

Thursday answered both questions, and neither answer was bullish.

*Click the image to enlarge it

Kroger reported mixed headline results, fell 8.4%, and posted its worst earnings reaction since Q1 2019. 

Accenture was even worse, cratering 18% after its own mixed report and delivering the worst earnings reaction in the stock’s history.

They were both complete disasters...

At The Beat Report, we follow a simple fusion analysis process. 

We want the technicals, fundamentals, and earnings sentiment all pointing in the same direction. 

When all three are bullish, we pay attention as potential buyers. 

But when all three are bearish, we want nothing to do with the stock.

And that's where Kroger and Accenture are today.

Let’s start with Kroger.

Heading into the report, we said the key level was $62.75. 

That was the 2022 peak, and over the past year, Kroger had been trying to flip that former resistance zone into support. 

So long as buyers defended that level, the long consolidation still had a chance to resolve higher.

That chance took a major hit on Thursday.

Kroger reported mixed headline results, fell 8.4%, closed at a new 52-week low, and decisively lost the $62.75 level. 

That former support zone is now overhead supply, and as long as KR remains below it, the path of least resistance is lower for the foreseeable future.

Kroger had been one of the better earnings sentiment stories in consumer staples, rewarded for six of its prior seven reports. 

And that was the main reason we gave the stock the benefit of the doubt heading into the event. 

The chart was messy, but the earnings tape had been constructive.

Now that tailwind is gone.

Kroger may still be a good grocery business over time, but right now, none of that matters because the market just rejected the stock in a major way.

The technicals broke, earnings sentiment flipped bearish, and the fundamentals aren't strong enough to offset either one.

KR isn't a stock we want to own.

And if KR was bad, ACN was worse...

In Sunday’s Weekly Beat, we framed ACN as a broken former leader trying to repair. 

The stock had already fallen from roughly $300 to almost $150 in 2026, and while downside momentum had begun to fade, the chart remained in a primary downtrend.

Thursday ended the repair attempt.

Accenture reported mixed headline results, with revenue of $18.72 billion versus estimates of $18.78 billion and earnings per share of $3.80 versus estimates of $3.72. 

And as a result, ACN fell 18%, posted a reaction score of -8.55.

What's more, the stock closed at its lowest level since 2017 and decisively resolved one of the largest distribution patterns in the S&P 500

The company tried to tell a better story, but the market didn't care.

The report included too many excuses, and struggling stocks don't get the benefit of the doubt when management cites external factors. 

Accenture said the conflict in the Middle East had a roughly $100 million revenue impact relative to expectations, all in consulting work. 

The company also said that some large managed services opportunities were pushed into fiscal 2027.

Maybe all of that is true, but when a stock is already in a primary downtrend, investors aren't looking for excuses. 

They want to see proof that the business is improving.

And Thursday gave them the opposite.

Accenture may still be a global consulting giant, but right now, it's a falling giant.

Want Steve Strazza’s best post-SpaceX trade ideas?

Tomorrow at noon ET, Steve is hosting a private “Best Idea” Pitch Meeting for Beat Report members, where his team will pitch their highest-conviction ways to profit from the post-SpaceX rotation.

We’ve already made big money in space stocks, and we’re looking for the next opportunity now.

Click here to start your risk-free membership and get access before this offer expires on Thursday at 11:59 pm ET.

We hope you have a good Juneteenth! 

-The Beat Team


Editor's Note: Steve Strazza trades a single repeatable idea. This is to find a stock coiling in a tight range, buy into the breakout, take your original stake back at a double, and let the rest ride. 

He broke the whole process down on real charts this week, and the replay is now LIVE. 

You can watch the replay here.