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[Options] The Boys Are in the $HOOD

August 24, 2022

That's right, we're in the 'hood. Robinhood stock $HOOD, that is.

Steve Strazza has been pounding the table about this name for so long that JC and I finally relented and agreed that it's starting to become that "put up or shut up" time.

With the stock swimming just below $10 per share, JC said: "Let's just leverage into this thing! If it's gonna work, we'll crush it. If it's not going to work, we'll know pretty soon. Below $9 we're out."

Here's the chart that has our attention:

The AVWAP from all-time lows is our support.

Right on. High potential reward for limited risk is my kind of play.

So we're going to play this one with a Bullish Risk Reversal, having naked short puts pay for our long calls exposure.

All Star Charts Crypto

Internals Are in Risk-Off Mode

August 24, 2022

From the Desk of Louis Sykes @haumicharts

Over the last month, we've been developing a variety of market breadth tools to use in crypto capital markets.

After working out a few technical kinks, we're happy to bring forward more of this analysis.

We recommend you read these two notes on crypto breadth to better understand our approach:

Here's a quick rundown on what this analysis seeks to achieve.

 

 

 

How Much More ECL Will Bill Gates Buy?

August 24, 2022

The largest insider transaction on today's list is a Form 4 filing by H Partners Management, which reported an $11.6 million purchase in the theme park Six Flags $SIX.

The hedge fund has a total stake of 11.50% as well as a seat on the board.

Double The Gas Prices

August 24, 2022

Gas prices are going up?

Good.

That means our Energy stocks are probably doing well.

You see, we don't have any control over the cost of Energy. I don't work for the government. I'm not in the Energy business.

I don't know the first thing about drilling for Oil or Gas.

I'm just a random dude with a computer and some smart drinking buddies.

So for me, I have 2 choices:

All Star Charts Premium

Trading a Weaker Yuan

August 23, 2022

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

The US dollar Index $DXY is trading at fresh highs. Take a look around the currency market. It shows.

Recent attempts to fade dollar strength have failed. The euro has fallen to its lowest level since late 2002. And we’re beginning to see forex pairs experience fresh breakouts in favor of the USD.

It’s certainly not the best look for risk assets. But it’s offering us great trading opportunities, not to mention some very valuable information.

A couple of pairs that are providing both are the USD/CNH and the USD/CNY. Let’s take a look!

[PLUS] Weekly Market Perspectives - Macro Risks Worth Watching

August 23, 2022

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

Key Takeaways:

  • Risk On appetite missing from recent rally
  • Bond yield momentum waning as financial stress remains low
  • Intact dollar uptrend and rollover in copper/gold ratio are equity market obstacles

In the wake of the breadth and momentum thrusts seen over the first half of August, the market seems to be arguing that the path of least resistance is higher as we move into 2023. The macro backdrop almost guarantees that the way forward will be strewn with rocks and roots. The question is whether the obstacles will be significant enough to derail or delay the journey. We will look at several macro-related indicators that could help us anticipate a more or less treacherous road ahead.

Before we get to that, even in the wake of the recent thrusts there is room for further improvement from a market perspective. The turn higher in new highs versus new lows remains tenuous and a robust appetite for risk has been elusive. This Risk Off - Risk On Range-O-Meter compares where the ratios between the...

[Premium] Trade Of The Week

August 23, 2022

The stock making its way to today's post is part of the Capital Goods sector that has been performing well for a while now.

And guess what? We have a breakout! Do you know which stock we're talking about?

All Star Charts Crypto

It's Time for More Chop

August 23, 2022

It's impossible to ignore legacy markets when evaluating cryptocurrencies.

The two are so intertwined that correlation analysis almost trumps our traditional price analysis.

I hate to say it, but if you want to understand where Bitcoin's going, study the S&P 500 and the US dollar, not the Bitcoin chart.

 

 

Biotech Catches Some Bids

August 23, 2022

The largest insider splash on today’s list is a Form 4 filing by Gregory Bailey, an independent director at Biohaven Pharmaceutical $BHVN.

Bailey reported the purchase of approximately $5.6 million in his company’s stock.