We retired our "Five Bull Market Barometers" in mid-July to make room for a new weekly post that's focused on the three most important charts for the week ahead.

This is that post, so let's jump into this week's edition.

In the wake of this week's events, I thought I would take a moment to remind everyone that nothing should surprise you.

The longer you're in this game, the more things you see. The newer you are at this, the easier it is to not know some of the history of markets.

And that's okay. You don't have to know everything the moment you start.

That's what the experience is for.

But I will let you all in on a little secret, regardless of how long you've been around:

From the desk of Steve Strazza & Grant Hawkridge

Don't miss this weeks Momentum Report; our weekly summation of all the major indexes at a Macro, International, Sector and Industry Group level. As a reminder, we analyze this shorter-term data within the context of the structural trends at play.

We're looking for trends.

That's why Technical Analysis works. Because stock market returns are not normally distributed. We have the data. It's not a secret.

Stocks trend. They go up for a while, they go down for a while and sometimes they can go sideways for a while.

Interest rates, commodities and currencies all act the same way. That's just how markets behave.

You can choose to pretend that it's not that way.

But we have the math that proves that it is.

So that's why we do this. That's why we rip through thousands of charts every week to identify which ways things are going.

All things.

Here's one of the biggest charts that continues to point to any choppy environment just being part of a bigger uptrend for stocks and risk assets:

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza and Ian Culley @IanCulley

Similar to last week, many areas of the Commodity space continue to chop sideways below overhead supply.

Healthy digestion of recent gains makes total sense given the explosive moves since last summer and in many cases is much needed.

Given that sideways price action is the main theme across Commodities at the moment, one particular consolidation stood out this past week.

And that consolidation is in the Corn market.

Corn futures have ripped off of their March-2020 lows, taking out key multi-year highs along the way.

Earlier this year it broke above a key Fibonacci level and its 2014 highs, and is now taking a breather in the form of a potential 8-week Flag or Pennant formation. These types of consolidations often resolve in the direction of the underlying...

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Welcome to the 2 to 100 Club.

Something we’ve been working on internally this year is using various bottoms-up tools and scans to complement our top-down approach. One way we’re doing this is by identifying stocks as they climb the market-cap ladder from small, to mid, to large, and ultimately to mega-cap status (over $200B).

Once they graduate from small-cap to mid-cap status (over $2B) they come on our radar. Likewise, when they surpass the roughly $30B mark, they roll off our list.

But the scan doesn’t just end there. We only want to look at the strongest growth industries in the market as that is typically where these potential 50-baggers come from.

Some of the best performers in recent decades – stocks like Priceline, Amazon, Netflix, and Salesforce, to a myriad of others… all would have been on this list at some point during their journey to becoming the market behemoths they are today.

When you look at the stocks in our table you will notice...

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

The rally in the stock market over the past year has been buoyed by many things and its shows. The year-over-year change in the S&P 500 reached its highest level ever this week as the index moved past the anniversary of its COVID lows. One of the sources of support in recent months has been economic data that have been consistently better than expected. Stocks have tended to do well when economic data surprises to the upside and they tend to struggle when the surprises have been to the downside. While the Economic Surprise Index is still positive, it has come under pressure in March. First, expectations for the recovery are being revised higher, but more immediately, there were a number of data misses in recent weeks. For example, housing market activity for February was weaker than expected (we touched on this in this week’s Perspectives piece). Economic optimism is generally welcome and tends to be self-fulfilling, but if expectations move too far ahead of reality, stocks can find themselves on a rocky path.

...

The recent pullbacks we've seen in a number of momentum names is offering us some advantageous opportunities to buy into some stocks we like at better prices.

One stock in particular is making a beautiful sound as it attracts my attention.

The Indian Rupee has been strengthening against its counterparts and that has been an interesting change in trend from what we were seeing in early February.

With that in mind. let's take a look at some important levels to track as this trend continues to play out.

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

March in Wisconsin (especially here in Milwaukee close to Lake Michigan) is a season of it being already and also not yet Spring. Depending on whether the wind is blowing out of the warm Southwest or coming at us right off of the lake, temperatures can swing dramatically. But the consistent warmth of the Sun heats the Earth and gets the soil ready for planting.

It’s one of the most exciting times of the year for me, full of promise & expectation. I’ve already been at work in the garden (the areas, that is, that are already receiving enough sunlight to soften the dirt). One of several changes in my life over the past year was last Fall’s rebuilding & re-arranging of the raised beds in our backyard. I’m excited by the new layout but it means more work getting them ready for planting. The beds are pretty barren at this point. Rhubarb and horseradish will soon provide some evidence of life, and I tried to work around the asparagus, so hopefully that survived. Garlic, unfortunately, did not get planted.

This is the video recording of the March 25th Town Hall Meeting w/ Willie Delwiche & JC Parets

03/25/21 2PM ET

There are times to make money in the market and then there are times to keep your money.

In sports you play offense and you play defense.

Offense sells tickets, but defense wins championships.

That's how I learned it.