We've been talking about base metals and precious metals for quite some time now, highlighting the levels to track and trends to watch out for.
It's time to look at what's happening in the agricultural commodities space as well. In the past week, we saw some good moves in two names in particular and we're here to discuss just that.
What's the FIRST question investors should ask themselves and have a clear and concrete answer to before putting money in the market?
It is literally step one. The cornerstone of any strategy or trading plan...
What is my objective?
Every investor should examine this thoughtfully and keep it top of mind to ensure that their investment decisions are aligned with their investmentgoals.
Usually, the answer is pretty simple and comes down to maximizing returns, or more importantly minimizing losses, in a way that fits within each individual's unique preferences.
But as we'll explore in this post, this isn't always the case, and sometimes it can be a bit nuanced - as is the case with Environmental, Social, and Governance investment strategies.
So as an exercise let's put ourselves in the shoes of ESG investors and ask a few simple questions...
One of the charts that stood out the most to me during last week's Conference Call was the relative strength in Communications. While Tech and Discretionary corrected over the prior month, Communications marched on:
We saw that relative strength once again this week with Communications up and the Nasdaq down yet again.
And we're not just seeing new all-time highs on an absolute basis either. Relative to the S&P500, this thing continues to run:
Don't miss this weeks Momentum Report; our weekly summation of all the major indexes at a Macro, International, Sector and Industry Group level. As a reminder, we analyze this shorter-term data within the context of the structural trends at play.
This week we're looking at a long setup in the Power sector. Certain stocks from this sector are grabbing our attention and we're looking at one of those!
We retired our "Five Bull Market Barometers" in mid-July to make room for a new weekly post that's focused on the three most important charts for the week ahead.
This is that post, so let's jump into this week's edition.
Our top-down macro approach keeps us in tune with the markets. It’s the backbone of everything we do here at All Star Charts.
We’ve strived to stay true to our time-tested analysis by complimenting our top-down approach with several bottom-up scans we've implemented over the past 12 months. From Under the Hood and 2 to 100 Club to the Young Aristocrats and Minor Leaguers, we’re always aiming to give you the tools you need to succeed in any market conditions.
Click here to watch a brief video of JC explaining our most popular scans!
The Outperformers is our newest scan that pinpoints the very best stocks in the market. It’s the fastest, easiest way to find quality names that are primed for major moves.
The goal is that as the market rally progresses, the sector rotation within the market will reflect in this scan. So while our Top/Down Analysis helps us with the broader view of the market, this Bottom/Up scan makes sure that we catch the slightest change in sentiment.
The recent uptick in US Treasury yields has not been confirmed by other areas of the bond market (specifically Bunds & JGBs). Bonds at this point are extremely oversold and sentiment indicators are pointing to excessive pessimism. The caveat is that bonds are in a bear market and so this sort of behavior should not come as a surprise. Still, there may be some room for yields to consolidate or even pullback from here. If that happens, it could provide a chance for gold to gain some traction. Gold & bonds have moved similarly in recent years, though gold has started to firm up even as bonds sold off this week. What sort of retracement of their recent weakness either bonds or gold can achieve remains to be seen - but an opportunity for that may be emerging.
Earlier this week JC referenced the 1966 Western “The Good, the Bad, and the Ugly”. Labelled a “Spaghetti Western” because it was directed by Italian director Sergio Leone, the movie and the genre overall have become cultural icons. Little did JC know that I had just watched this movie with my son within the past week (much the way that I had watched it with my father when I was growing up). Beyond just seeing the market metaphor in the movie’s title, the reference had the movie’s theme music again ringing in my ears.
It’s been a volatile week from a sector level performance perspective, but this is still how I am looking at the market: