From the Desk of Ian Culley @Ianculley

Don’t take your eyes off the US dollar and interest rates!

I know it’s been a long year, but we’re finally witnessing early signs of potential trend reversals. The breakdown in the dollar last week confirmed the mounting evidence suggesting the USD has reached its peak.

Now, will interest rates follow?

Check out the dual pane chart of the US dollar index $DXY and the 30-year yield $TYX:

They look almost identical. The recent breakdown in the dollar marks the lone flaw between the two, raising the question…

Will the strong relationship between rates and the dollar hold?

I won’t pretend to know where rates are headed. But if the dollar and rates remain on similar paths, my money is on declining yields at the longer end of the curve.

A falling 30-year yield also makes sense based on a...

From the Desk of Kimmy Sokoloff

Today was like a strange pendulum -- back and forth and up and down and all around.

The $SPY tried hard all morning to hold on to the eight-day moving average at 391.40.

Once $AAPL started to move higher, so did the indices -- SPY ran up to 394-plus.

This is the video recording of the November 17th, 2022, Weekly Town Hall w/ Willie Delwiche.

11/17/22 2:00 PM ET

The next new position in our Paid-to-Play portfolio is:

This week we came right out of the gates with the Chart of the Decade.

The catalyst for stocks to have a sustained rally is a weaker US Dollar.

The market keeps proving that to be right.

And yes, I am aware that in the 1990s, a weaker Dollar was not the bullish catalyst for stocks.

But are you aware that this is not the 1990s?

It's 2022 and the correlation has been consistently negative between stocks and Dollars.

Market breadth has to be the handiest tool in our technical analysis kit.

Sure, we love ripping through thousands of charts to gauge broad market trends. But breadth indicators are a cheat code. Putting in the work, we can easily quantify and, more importantly, visualize how well a market is being supported by its constituents.

Because remember, it will always be a market of stocks, not a stock market. Or, in this case, a market of cryptocurrencies.

There are numerous ways to optimize this data output; we can use this breadth data as the basis of a systematic approach.

Your trading system is only as good as your understanding of how well your system operates in different market environments.

If you understand that particular systems and strategies work better in trending environments but are terrible in rangebound markets, you can optimize your trading performance by leaning on different approaches depending on the market environment.

This is where quantifying breadth can have a lot of edge for a trader because it helps them objectively recognize the current market environment and, subsequently, which strategies they should lean...

The largest insider transaction on today's list is a Form 4 filing by the CEO of Ryan Specialty Group Holdings $RYAN.

The chief executive revealed a purchase worth $6.1 million in the specialty insurance company.

From the Desk of Kimmy Sokoloff

The S&P futures broke below 3,950, and now they're riding the eight-day moving average at 3,930.

So far, this is a healthy contraction, one that I've been looking for.

These are the registration details for our live mid-month conference call for Premium Members of All Star Charts.

Our next Live Call will be held on Monday November 21st at 6PM ET. As always, if you cannot make the call live, the video and slides will be archived and published here along with every other live call since 2015.

Here are the details for Monday night:

We debuted a new scan recently which goes by the name- All Star Momentum.

All Star Momentum is a brand new scan that guides us toward the very best stocks in the market. We have incorporated our stock universe of Nifty 500 as the base this time around. Among the 500 stocks that we follow, this scan will pump out names that are most likely to outperform the market.

If you're still asking what it will take to spark a sustained rally in equities, it's only because you're not paying attention.

How is it not the US Dollar?

Find me a stronger negative correlation with equities over the past half decade or so.

Todays chart focuses more specifically on the performance of US Dollars relative to Emerging Market Currencies.

Notice how whenever the Dollar goes down, stocks absolutely love it: