Every week, the team publishes the Follow The Flow report which surfaces unusual options activity. This is a report I reference often, not because I want to do the same trades that surface in the scan, but when I can find a technical setup that I like that is supported by the options flow, this can often lead to a bit of alpha with my own options strategy.
However, in today's case, I think I may jump aboard with the unusual options buyers and play along with them in a small-cap oil tanker.
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Our next Live Call will be held on Tuesday September 20th at 6PM ET. As always, if you cannot make the call live, the video and slides will be archived and published here along with every other live call since 2015.
Interest rates have resumed their ascent following a brief summer pause. And, in recent weeks, their climb has accelerated.
Aside from lower bond prices, what do higher rates mean for other assets, such as stocks and commodities?
It might seem like a simple question. But its relevance is undeniable given the current market conditions.
We’ve been vocal about the cyclical areas of the market that benefit most from a rising rate environment – think commodities, energy, materials, and banks. We’ve put out plenty of trade ideas in those areas.
That much we knew. We could see the evidence in the mess under our arbor every morning. Our dog was also aware of its presence. But we didn’t know exactly what “it” was – until Friday.
Rather than waiting patiently by the back screen door, the dog was crouched as if he was in starting blocks. He was ready to launch himself onto the scene.
He sprinted to the grape arbor, and after a brief glance at the vines, he raced along the fence. Within moments, he had his prey, shook it vigorously (as he has done in the past), and dropped a limp body. I walked over to get my first glimpse of the intruder.
Laying motionless at the dog’s feet was a not insubstantial possum.
What a wild week, eh? On Tuesday, the rug got pulled on dip buyers with the latest inflation data point coming in hot, throwing a whole bunch of confusion into the market regarding the future of interest rates. Or, so I'm told.
The net result for us options traders is that there is once again some juicy options premium for us to sell into. And we've got a bunch of sloppy ETF charts that look primed for some net sideways actions over the near term.
Earlier this morning, the long-awaited Ethereum merge was finalized.
Ethereum has successfully transitioned into the proof-of-stake (PoS) model, leaving Bitcoin as the only proof-of-work (PoW) blockchain of scale.
This is a major turning point, particularly in an ideological sense. The debate between the PoS and PoW frameworks will only intensify following this transition.