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"It's Only 5 Stocks" LOL

June 3, 2023

Last year they would complain that the biggest growth stocks were not participating in the stock market rally.

This year they're complaining that the biggest growth stocks are participating too much in the stock market rally.

It's quite obvious that people just like to complain.

We've already addressed the fact that this is perfectly normal, healthy sector rotation, and NOT a weakening breadth issue.

See here.

Periods of concentrated leadership do not necessarily mean widespread distribution.

Besides, it hasn't just been 5 stocks that have been going up. Or 7 stocks, or even 10.

A lot of stocks, in both the U.S. and around the world, have already been going up for some time.

...
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Uranium Stocks Approach a Key Breakout

June 2, 2023

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

Commodities are on the rocks.

Our Equal-Weight 33 Commodity Index is printing fresh two-year lows. Crude oil is hanging around the lower bounds of a multi-month consolidation. And Dr. Copper is loitering below former support.

This isn’t bull market behavior.

But just as the stock market is a market of stocks, the commodity market is a market of, well, a diverse set of commodities.  

So, while I don’t want to buy many high-profile procyclical contracts – and certainly not the commodity indexes – I do like the more obscure areas showing strength…

Areas such as uranium!

I outlined my case for uranium stocks at the start of the year. It was pretty simple: If gold and copper are printing fresh highs, peripheral areas likely enjoy a bid. That includes uranium.

Perhaps copper hasn’t had the best first half, but gold and other precious metals...

Swing Trader Pro: Afternoon Briefing (06-02-2023)

June 2, 2023

From the Desk of Kimmy Sokoloff

The S&P 500 is nearing the 4,300 level -- June is starting out very strong.

The question is, will it last?

I'll trade the ideas and stick to certain themes I have.

Always remember, shorts are VERY hard. Most should never short. Know your risk.

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[Options Premium] Taking Advantage of Cheap Call Premiums

June 2, 2023

[12/4: updated stop to 250]

It feels like whatever items have been holding the broader markets back are falling by the wayside one by one, clearing the path to the next leg higher in this bull market.

And with volatility (as measured by $VIX) making new yearly lows, it's getting more affordable to make a bullish play with simple long call option trades.

So we're going to do just that!

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Interest Rates: Don’t Fight the Trend

June 1, 2023

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

US interest rates have churned within a tight range for months. 

Remember: Sideways is a trend. 

While intermarket evidence suggests a breakdown in yields, they simply refuse to roll over.

It makes perfect sense when we zoom out…

Rates are in a well-defined structural uptrend!

Check out the US 30-year Treasury yield overlaid with live cattle futures:

They look almost identical as both exhibit the classic base-on-base formation – one upside resolution followed by another.

To be clear, I’m not proposing a grand thesis regarding a strong positive correlation between long-duration rates and live cattle futures, or what the next directional move in live cattle and rates mean for AI stocks (though I haven’t dismissed the idea).

Instead, I’m simply observing the trend that began in early 2020. 

I chose to place live cattle futures on the chart for effect – a...