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fvx and tnx

One of the biggest lessons I've learned over the years is that no market moves in isolation.

Just because you trade stocks doesn't mean you can ignore what's happening in bonds, currencies, or commodities.

Everything is connected.

...

Alfonso's Daily Note
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Alfonso
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One of the strongest pieces of evidence supporting this bull market has nothing to do with where the major indexes are trading.

It has to do with participation.

One of my favorite ways to measure that is through the Advance-Decline Line....

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Alfonso
Lemonade

The best opportunities in this market aren't necessarily the ones making headlines.

In fact, some of the strongest charts are coming from places most investors haven't looked in years.

That's what makes this...

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Alfonso
bbc

One of the things I always pay attention to is where the market is rewarding risk and where money is actually flowing.

Lately, one of the clearest answers has been biotech.

It's a theme I've been steadily...

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Alfonso
IWM/IWB

The market’s former leaders are no longer leading.

And it starts with the stocks that used to carry everything higher: the so-called “Magnificent Seven”.

They’ve been struggling not only on an absolute basis, but also relative to the...

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Alfonso
mrna
This is the best trade in healthcare right now

The biggest winner of the COVID era is setting up for another run.

I'm talking about Moderna $MRNA.

The stock went from a niche biotech company to one of the biggest winners of the pandemic as demand for its...

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Alfonso
RRG

Yesterday was a wild session.

Volatility picked up and the major indexes experienced some of the largest intraday swings we've seen in months.

But beneath the surface, the action was actually constructive....

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Alfonso
dxy

The U.S. Dollar remains one of the most important charts in the world, even if most investors rarely pay attention to it.

Here's why it matters.

Historically, the direction of the dollar has played a major...

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Alfonso
igv

Software is starting to look interesting again.

After being hit hard in 2025, the group has spent most of the year repairing damage and trying to find its footing while much of the market has gone vertical.

On...

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Alfonso
xlk spy

When you go back and study every bull market over the past century, one thing shows up again and again — Technology tends to be one of the most consistent leadership groups.

And that pattern is starting to show up again.

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Alfonso
AMZN

Today is a big one for the market.

Microsoft, Meta, and Google all report earnings after the bell, and the way these names react will help set the tone for what comes next.

But there’s one more name I’m...

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Alfonso
Bitcoin

Crypto is starting to wake up.

After months of choppy, frustrating action, the tide is finally shifting.

For the first time in a while, I’ve been putting risk back on — adding exposure through Coinbase,...

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Alfonso
Bitcoin Mining ETF.

I’m buying crypto miners here.

The setup is lining up across the entire group, and the cleanest way to see it is through the Bitcoin Mining ETF $WGMI.

 

The fund has been coiling between two key anchored...

Alfonso's Daily Note
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Alfonso
xbi vs rsp

As I worked through my charts this weekend, one group stood out more than anything else: Biotech.

In a market full of noise and choppy price action, this is exactly what I’m looking for — pockets of strength. And this group...

Alfonso's Daily Note
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Alfonso
Nasdaq 100

Every week, I go through thousands of charts looking for evidence to define the market environment we’re in.

Right now, the message is clear: important groups are ...

Alfonso's Daily Note
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Alfonso
iei vs hyg and dxy

The market has been messy, weak, and sideways lately.

It’s frustrating across timeframes — no clear follow-through to the upside or downside.

Sometimes, doing nothing is the smartest move. That’s how I see it...

Alfonso's Daily Note
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Alfonso