We could not be more thrilled to see stocks selling off. There has been more than enough evidence since the beginning of October to suggest that a more neutral approach to markets and/or selling stocks short has been the best course of action. Passive...
While updating our Canadian Chartbooks this weekend, I noticed a few that stood out as offering well-defined opportunities where the reward/risk is skewed in our favor. This short post will...
When we want to see what the market is doing on a given day, we all have our list of the ticker symbols we punch in: $DJIA or $SPY or $QQQ. Some people are more global and look at things like Gold, Crude Oil or Interest Rates and countries like...
I learned a long time ago from one of my early mentors, "Don't Fight Papa Dow". In other words, this is the most important index in the world. When someone asks you what the market did today, they're wondering how the Dow Jones Industrial...
Until stock markets sound the "all clear" signal and we can get back to our regularly scheduled bull market, we have to operate with a different set of rules in order to protect our capital -- both money and mind. Corrective or Bear Markets require a...
There are assets out there that have a lower or no correlation with the rest of the U.S. Stock Market. These investments are really helpful, but even more so when we're looking for stocks to buy in an environment where we think most...
It's easy to say. You hear it all the time. That word, "Patience".
How many of us actual put this into practice? It isn't easy. We're an instant gratification society. How happy does it make you feel when someone 'likes' a picture of your kid...
The TSX Composite is down roughly 6.75% year-to-date, with stocks getting hit hard since their July 13th, 2018 high. Only one sector is positive over that time period, but I think its recent...
Counter-trend trades are lower probability by nature, which means risk management is vital both when they work and when they don't. Taking the loss and reevaluating when the trade thesis is invalidated is something most traders think about, but...
Small-caps have been lagging for most of the year with that trend really accelerating in May, posing a major headwind for the broader market. One thing we...
Rates are at multi-year highs and bond prices are at multi-year lows. This has been the trend. We've been in the camp that rates would break out above 3% and that 4% was next. This has been logical target for a variety of reasons, but today that is...
I am really enjoying these conversations with Phil Pearlman. This is the 3rd episode we do where we're discussing important topics about our feelings and emotions. Today's topic is Grit, and the advantages that someone with grit has these days over...
In corrective and bear markets, bounces and false rallies are powerful and swift. They should not be feared, but they should be respected. And the patient among us will use these rallies for better entry points on our short ideas.
As you guys know, we've been rooting for a stock market crash for most of October. When we're shorting stocks, we want the market to drop as fast as possible so we...
The last two months have not been kind to India's stock market, which is why we've been approaching it from a more neutral perspective for most of that time. Although big selloffs are never fun, the progression of this trend from its start to now has...
Welcome to the new market regime, young lads. Many of us, and many more that are way older than me, have seen plenty of bear markets. At our shop, we rely heavily on global markets to give us information about stocks as an asset class, so we're...
Over the weekend I ran the performance metrics of the Russell 3000's Sectors and Industries to get some perspective on where the leadership is since the S&P 500's high on October 3rd and...
When the stock market is not going up, the blame game gets played. It's a combination of shareholders losing money and media types needing something to say. It's always someone or something's fault and rarely described as a normal occurrence. The...
When the weight of the evidence is pointing in one direction as it has been from early 2016 through mid-2018, it makes sense to be aggressive and take advantage of the clear trends while they're intact. However, when conditions change and the evidence...