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Ethereum Breaks Out of an 18-Month Base

December 7, 2023

From the Desk of Louis Sykes @haumicharts

At this point last year, investors had convinced themselves there was no floor for cryptocurrency prices.

Everyone was losing money.

Crypto firms were blowing up right and left. 

People were letting fear dictate their decision-making process.

Do you remember it?

We certainly do.

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2 to 100 Club

2 to 100 Club (12-06-2023)

December 7, 2023

Welcome to The 2 to 100 Club.

As many of you know, something we've been working on internally is using various bottom-up tools and scans to complement our top-down approach.

It's really been working for us!

One way we're doing this is by identifying the strongest growth stocks as they climb the market-cap ladder from small- to mid- to large- and, ultimately, to mega-cap status (over $200B).

Once they graduate from small-cap to mid-cap status (over $2B), they come on our radar. Likewise, when they surpass the roughly $30B mark, they roll off our list.

But the scan doesn't just end there.

We only want to look at the strongest growth industries in the market, as that is typically where these potential 50-baggers come from.

Some of the best performers in recent decades – stocks like Priceline, Amazon, Netflix, Salesforce, and myriad others – would have been on this list at some point during their journey to becoming the market behemoths they...

[Options] Turning the KEY

December 6, 2023

Today's trade has me thinking of this classic corny joke from Pulp Fiction:

One of the strongest sectors out there right now is banking. Particularly regional banks. And as we head into year-end, the catch-up trade is real and money managers chasing alpha are looking into some beaten-up names in the regional banks to get the juice they need to make their year.

This plays in favor of today's trade which has a yawning gap to fill which is likely to overshoot on the upside if a broader market melt-up is in the cards (narrator: we think it is).

Check out this chart of KeyCorp $KEY:

New Record Cash Levels - Investors are still scared

December 6, 2023

The inflows into Money Market Funds continue.

Another $73 Billion came in last week, as investors decide they would rather sit in cash collecting an inflation-adjusted, after tax profit of around 1%.

Meanwhile, the Nasdaq is up 50% from the October lows last year. The S&P500 is up a humble 30%.

Technology stocks are up 60%.

Bitcoin is up 160% this year.

But investors are deciding to close their eyes to the current market trends and, for some reason, hoping it goes away.

Rotation is the Lifeblood

December 5, 2023

Sector rotation is the lifeblood of a bull market.

I would encourage you to go back and study every bull market in history. Do you know what you'll find?

Sectors rotating.

And this bull market is no different.

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Follow the Flow (12-04-2023)

December 4, 2023

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @sstrazza and Alfonso Depablos @Alfcharts

This is one of our favorite bottom-up scans: Follow the Flow.

In this note, we simply create a universe of stocks that experienced the most unusual options activity — either bullish or bearish, but not both.

We utilize options experts, both internally and through our partnership with The TradeXchange. Then, we dig through the level 2 details and do all the work upfront for our clients.

Our goal is to isolate only those options market splashes that represent levered and high-conviction, directional bets.

We also weed out hedging activity and ensure there are no offsetting trades that either neutralize or cap the risk on these unusual options trades.

What remains is a list of stocks that large financial institutions are putting big money behind.

And they’re doing so for one reason only: because they think...

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The Hall of Famers (12-01-2023)

December 1, 2023

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Our Hall of Famers list is composed of the 150 largest US-based stocks.

These stocks range from the mega-cap growth behemoths like Apple and Microsoft – with market caps in excess of $2T – to some of the new-age large-cap disruptors such as Moderna, Square, and Snap.

It has all the big names and more.

It doesn’t include ADRs or any stock not domiciled in the US. But don’t worry; we developed a separate universe for that. Click here to check it out.

The Hall of Famers is simple.

We take our list of 150 names and then apply our technical filters so the strongest stocks with the most momentum rise to the top.

Let’s dive right in and check out what these big boys are up to.

Here’s this week’s list:

*Click table to enlarge view

We filter out any laggards that are down -5% or more relative to the S&P 500 over the trailing month.

Then, we sort the remaining names by their proximity to new 52-week highs.

This leaves us...

Hot Corner Insider

The Hot Corner Insider (12-1-2023)

December 1, 2023

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza and Alfonso Depablos @AlfCharts

It’s a bull market. November, being one of the best months in history, acts as a great reminder of that.

It’s time to be aggressive.

We want to press our winners.

We want to buy short-term continuation breakouts.

We want to buy fresh reversal patterns.

We want to buy new all-time highs.

That’s the market we’re in. Let’s act accordingly.

Here are some of our favorite hot corner setups right now:

Historic November As The Bull Market Continues....

December 1, 2023

Remember when they told you Black Monday was coming?

Remember how the yield curve was the greatest indicator of recessions and bear markets ever?

How about that time they told you a war was a bad thing for stocks?

The best one was how they told you that market breadth was weak. "It's only 7 stocks, JC", lol.

None of the people telling you these things actually took the time to count how many stocks were going up.

If they had, then they wouldn't have to tell you fairytales about recessions and credit events.

As it turns out, November was one of the greatest months in stock market history: