Since early October, a big question for us has been, "How low can US Stocks go? Obviously no one knew then, and no one knows now, so all we did know was...
Autos were some of the worst performers in 2018, and new lows on a relative basis to start 2019 suggest the first quarter may bring more of the same for this sector. This post will outline why we want to continue to sell strength in this sector, as...
This is going to be a quick post, but I noticed a chart during my analysis that was too nice not to share. It just so happens that it's a great example of how a stock should act when transitioning from a downtrend to an uptrend.
I spent the New Year in Lake Tahoe, which is one of my favorite and most beautiful places in the world. Heading up to the lake with family and friends for a few days (and leaving my laptop at home) really helps clear my head and let's me focus on the...
The media has been making quite the ruckus about 2018 and the "historic" volatility that the US Stock Market experienced, particularly in the fourth quarter. In this post I want to look at a...
As we wrap up 2018, it's time to forget everything that happened this quarter and this year and start from scratch. It’s irrelevant. We’re moving forward with fresh eyes. This is our Q1 2019 Playbook.
Part 1 of our Q1 2019 Playbook discusses big-picture themes, while this part focuses on the individual stock setups with the best reward/risk scenarios heading into the new...
It's been a great couple of months for Bond bulls. As unprepared investors worry about their portfolios and financial media outlets irresponsibly call this...
This is one of my favorite things to do: Forget everything that happened this quarter and this year and start from scratch. It doesn't matter what we did or how we felt in 2018. It's irrelevant. We're moving forward. This is my Q1 2019 Playbook....
From a public markets perspective the Marijuana Industry is small, so small that it could go to zero tomorrow and nobody would notice. In late August we started covering the space after...
Yesterday after the bell we sent out our Year End '18 ETF Risk Update to our Institutional Clients, covering 100+ of the most actionable and informative charts. To put this report together we...
Bonds Funds are breaking out to new 3-month highs. This comes after consensus this September was for higher US rates, and therefore, lower prices for bonds. When the market is leaning too much in any one direction, the unwind of that extreme...
Some stocks are going up and most stocks are going down. That's been the trend over the past 10 weeks or so. There is nothing out of the ordinary about that and cash heavy positions have helped us tremendously during this period.
Two weeks ago we wrote that the weight of the evidence was suggesting the major indexes in India were getting ready to resume lower. While we were a few days early...
We always hear the phrases "fading strength" or "selling into strength" from market participants, but what does that mean from a practical standpoint? How do you know what to sell? When do you...