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From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

We like to say that dollars flow to where they are treated best. If that is the case, commodities could soon see a surge of inflows. The DBC/AGG ratio shows commodities surging to new multi-year highs...

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Observations

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

My team just participated in our final cross country race of the season, and I was thrilled with our performance. 

Our focus this season was effort and the improvement that follows. This week...

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From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

Key Takeaway: The risks associated with excessive optimism are no longer present as bulls are in full retreat. Recent spikes in volatility and downside pressure on price have ushered in an...

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sentiment
Sentiment Report

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

Index-level volatility picked up in September and by month-end the S&P 500 has experienced its first 5% drawdown in nearly a year. Beneath the surface, we’ve been seeing increasingly widespread...

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Observations

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

We see what we are thinking about. The first time I really became aware of this was a few years ago after we bought our Subaru. I had gone from not thinking at all about Subarus to driving one and now...

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From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

Key Takeaway: Bulls continue to retreat while bears remain relatively unchanged. The current imbalance in sentiment speaks to cooling optimism and an increasing...

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sentiment
Sentiment Report

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

The story this week was bond yields and the mounting evidence that they are ready to move higher. 10-year yields in the US and Germany have climbed to their highest levels since July. The US 10-year T...

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Observations

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

Key Takeaway: Optimism has begun to cool as sentiment relieves the excesses of early summer. Yet, we are a far cry from a complete unwind that cyclical damage suggests is necessary. As...

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sentiment
Sentiment Report

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

In 2021, every month except April has seen the S&P 500 testing its 50-day average. Only after the initial test in February did the index fall further below that average than it is doing in...

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Observations

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

It was the final stretch of the last sailing race of the day on Lake Michigan. 

A couple of my good friends squeezed the race in just before the weather started to deteriorate. They could see...

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From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

Key Takeaway: Sentiment is teetering on the edge of a complete unwind. Six months of choppy markets has taken its toll on optimism and now pessimism is starting to move higher. This week’s...

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sentiment
Sentiment Report