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All Star Charts Crypto

📅 Navigating the Crypto Selloff

July 4, 2024

The crypto asset class is selling off hard.

This time last week, I was arguing a reset had taken place and with Bitcoin testing support, it was a logical place to see buyers step in. As of the writing of this letter, Bitcoin is making new three month lows.

Following this, I want to see a few scenarios play out before entering back into longs with any conviction.

Altcoins are being slaughtered; I keep pointing to the tendency for such topping patterns to fail in the context of bull markets. But again, I need to see the market prove this thesis before acting on it.

There is also a significant divergence brewing between macro and crypto markets.

All Star Charts Crypto

📈 Bitcoin Miners Keep Working

July 3, 2024

In the face of a weak crypto market, Bitcoin miners keep charging higher.

Iris Energy and TeraWulf are two standouts in this space, but the group at the index level is just breaking out offering a well defined entry level.

All Star Charts Crypto

🔍 Carving a Bottom

June 30, 2024

I've been maintaining a neutral short-term bias for the last five weeks, which has helped us keep away from much of the precarious action over this period. But I'm seeing mounting signs that point to a tradable low being carved, and as such, I'm changing our short-term bias from neutral to bullish.

Bitcoin is finding support at a key level alongside many altcoins. Further, this is within the context of a wider reset in a longer-term bull market.

All Star Charts Crypto

📅 Buying the Dip

June 28, 2024

I keep coming back to the fact that we've just experienced a reset in the context of a bull market.

The primary uptrends are still higher.

So when I see coins consolidating and retesting support in the context of bull markets, I'm viewing that as a buying opportunity.

On the other end of the spectrum, there are a number of coins that have broken down to new lows. But it wouldn't surprise me to see these catch higher in the coming weeks, putting in the classic 'not a top' pattern we've seen so much in this bull market.

All Star Charts Crypto

📈 Taking Advantage of the Weakness

June 26, 2024

There's plenty of bearish action taking place in the crypto market. Many coins are breaking down and the technicals are carving out topping patterns.

But in the face of this weakness, I emphasize we're still in a longer-term bull market and selloffs like these have been favorable buying opportunities for traders.

All Star Charts Crypto

📈 We're Buying Solana

June 24, 2024

I reviewed the trade we discussed last week in today's note, but I think it's so important that it deserves it's own letter.

And that is the setup in Solana is ready. We're taking advantage of this weakness.

All Star Charts Crypto

📅 It's Time To Fade Altcoin Pessimism

June 24, 2024

Much of our recent coverage has focused on the divergence between Bitcoin and altcoins.

While the former has barely sold off, there is a lot of damage down the cap scale.

People are frightened. People see red candles. People have forgotten what the bull market looks like.

And people are creating a lot of noise.

Our job at All Star Charts Crypto is to cut through that noise and to consider objective reality.

While people are giving up on these altcoins, our datasets point to downside exhaustion.

Consider, for example, the fact that we're seeing spikes in the number of cryptos hitting oversold conditions.

In the context of a long-term bull market, these periods have proven to be great times to be buyers – not sellers – of cryptocurrencies.

All Star Charts Crypto

🔍 Opportunities Arise Amid Sell-Off

June 24, 2024

Heading into last week we were mindful of the compression in volatility which meant an increased likelihood for larger price swings. Further, we were being patient given a number of our data sets were pointing to mixed signs.

We've seen selling continue, particularly ramping up this morning.

All Star Charts Crypto

📈 Buying the Altcoin Bloodbath

June 19, 2024

There is a bloodbath taking place in the altcoins even though Bitcoin has barely budged to the downside.

Sentiment and price action is being washed out, which in the context of a bull market, presents a favorable opportunity.

All Star Charts Crypto

🔍 An Inflection Point

June 19, 2024

I'm maintaining my neutral short-term bias. My data sets are mixed, with some indicators pointing in bullish territory while others skew bearish.

Volatility has contracted to extreme levels. Given volatility's mean-reverting nature, we're likely going to experience an expansion in volatility in the short-term.

I'm being patient and letting the weight of the evidence tip me to a more bullish stance.