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Baker Bros Doubles Its Immunocore Position

July 21, 2022

The largest insider transaction on today’s Hot List is a Form 4 filing by Nimish P. Shah, who reported an additional purchase of roughly $1.4 million of Tricida $TCDA.

The only 13D on our list today was filed by Baker Bros Advisors LP.

Was That A Breadth Thrust?

July 21, 2022

One thing we know about markets is that breadth thrusts tend to cluster together near the beginning of new bull markets.

Breadth thrusts are NOT signs of exhaustion. They are evidence of new trends emerging.

Now, after a few days of strength in stocks and crypto, investors are wondering: Was that a thrust?

Well, almost. But it's not quite there yet.

Here's one that's close. We're looking at the % of stocks in the S&P500 making new 20 day highs.

We saw over 40% of stocks hit new 20 day highs this week. We're looking for 55% to categorize this one as a true breadth thrust:

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2 to 100 Club

2 to 100 Club (07-20-2022)

July 20, 2022

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Welcome to the 2 to 100 Club.

As many of you know, something we've been working on internally is using various bottom-up tools and scans to complement our top-down approach. It's really been working for us!

One way we're doing this is by identifying the strongest growth stocks as they climb the market-cap ladder from small- to mid- to large- and, ultimately, to mega-cap status (over $200B).

Once they graduate from small-cap to mid-cap status (over $2B), they come on our radar. Likewise, when they surpass the roughly $30B mark, they roll off our list.

But the scan doesn't just end there.

We only want to look at the strongest growth industries in the market, as that is typically where these potential 50-baggers come from.

Some of the best performers in recent decades – stocks like Priceline, Amazon, Netflix, Salesforce, and myriad others – would have been on this list at some point during their journey...

Chart of the Day: 2 Important Bellwethers

July 20, 2022

There are many examples of important Indexes and Sector ETFs that are retesting key former highs, the 2018 peak in particular.

You can see it in Small-caps, Financials, European Indices, Bitcoin/Ethereum and many others. We discussed all of these on this week's live Premium Conference Call, and also in our Q3 Playbook to Profit.

But you can also see these important retests in the bellwethers.

Here are two of the most important on the planet, one representing Industrials and the other Financials - 2 key sectors in America.

[PLUS] Weekly Sentiment Report

July 20, 2022

From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

Key Takeaway:  It’s been bears on parade all year, starting with significantly less optimism coming into this year than was seen at the beginning of 2021 or 2020 and continuing through lengthy stretches of more bears than bulls on both the II and AAII surveys. Persistent pessimism among advisory services has now been broken and it’s time for the bulls to show what they’ve got left in their tank. The clock is ticking, though, as they’ve used so much of their limited firepower and yet we continue to see more stocks making new 52-week lows than 52-week highs. Bulls have put together two days of better than nine-to-one upside volume (on July 15 and again on July 19). That checks off one box (out of five) on our bull market re-birth checklist, but there is more work to be done before concluding that any uptick in optimism is well-placed. 

Sentiment Report Chart of the Week: Recession Fears Misplaced?

High yield spreads moving higher tends to be a reliable sign that liquidity...

[Options] Cereal For a Snack

July 20, 2022

The latest Quarterly Playbook is out, which has given us a bunch of ideas to begin exploring.

One idea stood out for me in particular because of a recent pullback offering a good entry point. It's in a bellwether dividend-paying stock that we wouldn't mind owning for the long term, but we're going to take advantage of elevated options premiums to leverage into a high-probability bet for some opportunistic income.

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The Intuitive Value of Using Crayons

July 20, 2022

From the desk of Louis Sykes @haumicharts

There's a common adage around here, a bit of advice to "draw your lines with crayons, not pens and pencils."

What it means is that when you're drawing support and resistance levels, it's best to construe them as zones rather than in terms of a single price.

It's a good rubric and a sound principle. But it makes sense to explore in greater detail why this is the case, particularly for cryptocurrency.

When it comes to this new asset class, technicals are a far more popular choice among traders and investors. It only makes sense in a market where there aren't nearly as many sophisticated fundamentals.

You're not going to discount a crypto project's cash flows to arrive at a valuation; you're going to trade the chart.

But, amid the growing popularity of technical analysis, proponents often don't recognize why price action principles work. There's far more to understand beyond drawing rectangles on charts.

So, let's explore what makes "supply and demand" work as a primary trading and analytical indicator, how to apply it, and why we argue for using...

Of Course Buffett Is Buying

July 20, 2022

There’s been a noticeable lack of Hot List activity, as insiders seem to be sitting out the latest rally.

Today is no different, as we have a single Form 4 and one 13G.

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[Premium] Q3 2022 Playbook

July 20, 2022

This is our ASC Research Q3 2022 Playbook.

Investors have a lot of questions right now. With sentiment and at some of the most pessimistic levels in history, what will it take for some of these trends to change in the second half of the year? I believe some major trends are already changing.

The Playbook takes a step back and looks at things from a more Structural perspective. If you're specifically looking for more tactical opportunities, you can check out this week's Live Mid-Month Conference Call.

Here's what we'll be discussing in our Q3 Playbook:

  • Stocks (International & U.S.)
  • U.S. Sectors & Industries
  • Market Breadth & Sentiment
  • Commodities
  • Currencies
  • Intermarket Analysis
  • Cryptocurrencies
  • New Trade Ideas
  • Overall Strategy