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The Tape Dictates Simplicity

June 1, 2022

It's that time again -- monthly candlesticks!

Longtime readers know how much we love new monthly candlesticks. They force us to zoom out from the day-to-day noise and focus on what's really taking place.

In the case of Bitcoin $BTC, it can't get any more defined than 30,000.

Remember this time last summer when we were obnoxious about this level every week?

[Options] Prepared for a Zoom in Either Direction

June 1, 2022

We play with the cards we are dealt. There is nothing else we can do. We cannot employ willpower to create market conditions into being the way we'd prefer them to be. They are what they are, it is what it is. So we work with what we've got.

And what we've got right now are a bunch of badly beaten up stocks. Many still off 60%+ from their recent highs.

Dumpster diving isn't my favorite way to find new ideas to trade. But my man Strazza enjoys the exercise from time to time and recently, he's uncovered some notable insider buying and unusual options activity in some former highflyers, most notably Zoom $ZM.

But first, let's survey the damage. This probably isn't new to many of you, but look how far ZM has fallen from its recent perch atop Momentum Mountain:

ValueAct Buys More Insight Shares

June 1, 2022

The largest insider buy on today’s list comes in a Form 4 filing by ValueAct Capital.

It reveals an additional purchase of roughly $7.8 million in Insight Enterprises $NSIT, as ValueAct continues to increase its position in the tech stock.

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The Mexican Peso Packs a Punch

May 31, 2022

From the desk of Steven Strazza @Sstrazza and Ian Culley @IanCulley

The US dollar is on the ropes as global currencies bounce back.

After failing to hold its breakout earlier in the month, the USD looks vulnerable against a growing number of currencies.

The pound and euro are catching higher. The Swiss franc is rebounding off its recent lows. And the commodity-centric Australian and Canadian dollars remain resilient.

We can add the Mexican peso to this list, as the USD/MXN cross broke down to fresh 52-week lows yesterday. This breakdown supports the near-term bearish argument for the dollar.

And it also offers a great trade setup. 

Let’s take a look.

Here’s a chart of the USD/MXN pair:

While the Mexican peso has chopped sideways since late 2020, we believe the trend is shifting to the downside.

Last week, prices punctured the range lows as the USD/MXN hit...

[PLUS] Weekly Market Notes & Breadth Trends

May 31, 2022
From the desk of Willie Delwiche.

Key Takeaway:

  • After bounce, trend environment still trying.
  • Health of the economy hinges on the desire and ability of consumers to spend.
  • Risk On case needs to prove its point.
At one level it is easy to be enamored with last week’s rally. It was the best weekly gain for the S&P 500 since November 2020 and for only the fifth time in the past decade, all 72 industry groups in the S&P 1500 (24 large-cap, 24 mid-cap and 24 small-cap) were up on the week. Curiously, all five of those times have come in the wake of the COVID lows. But despite those impressive price gains, the risk off environment remains intact. The trend in the NASDAQ 100 is under the most pressure it has dealt with since the Financial Crisis. The same can be said for the passive portfolios that many investors seem to think only...
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[Premium] Details For June 2022 Monthly Strategy Session

May 31, 2022

These are the registration details for our Live Monthly Candlestick Strategy Session for Premium Members of All Star Charts.

This month’s Video Conference Call will be held on Thursday June 2nd @ 6PM ET. As always, if you cannot make the call live, the video and slides will be archived and published here along with every other live call since 2015.

Here are the details for Thursday evening:

Soros Sees Something in indie Semiconductor

May 31, 2022

Last week, George Soros filed a 13G revealing the purchase of 9,425,000 shares of the small-cap automotive semiconductor company indie Semiconductor $INDI.

This brings Soros Fund Management's total interest to 9.20%, making it the largest shareholder of the company.