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Silver’s Next Big Move Starts Here

The setup is clean, and the upside potential is massive.

If you study markets long enough, you'll find that price almost always leads the news.

Someone, somewhere, tends to know something before the masses. 

And right now, Silver is a great example of this.

After several months of violent, frustrating, sideways repair, Silver futures are starting to look interesting again.

The headlines are starting to notice, too...

A recent article argued that the historic rally in Gold and Silver could resume as the fog of war lifts.

People are pointing to the same forces that drove last year’s move: tight physical supply, strong industrial and AI demand, and continued interest in precious metals as an alternative to traditional financial assets.

Maybe they’re right...

Maybe a peace deal could unlock the next leg higher. 

Or maybe the market front-runs it, and the whole geopolitical story ends up being less important than people think.

We don’t know.

We are not geopolitical experts here at the Supercycle Report, and we aren't pretending to know how or when the conflict in Iran will end.

That’s not our job.

Our job is to identify asymmetric risk-reward opportunities.

Right now, we're seeing an attractive setup develop in Silver.

After peaking in late January, Silver futures suffered a brutal unwind. 

And over the past few months, the buyers have been trying to repair the damage.

Now the commodity has shaped up nicely and given us a clear level of interest to monitor for a buy signal.

The volume-weighted average price anchored to the late-January peak is our line in the sand. A break above this level would open the door to a significant move higher.

Right now, this level comes in around 82.70 in Silver futures. If you're looking at the Silver ETF $SLV, this same level is around 75.

If the buyers can reclaim that level, we'll know for a fact that all the damage from earlier this year has been repaired and that the buyers are back in control.

What's more, the momentum is leading the price higher. As you can see, the 14-day RSI has carved out a textbook reversal pattern and is breaking out ahead of the price.

Seeing momentum breakout before price is something we frequently see in markets, and it adds to our conviction in an eventual upside resolution in Silver futures.

And if and when Silver futures reclaim 82.70, the most logical upside objective is a retest of the late-January highs. 

That's a lot of upside potential... 

From current levels, Silver futures have nearly 50% upside just to get back to where they were a few months ago.

That’s the kind of setup we love here at the Supercycle Report.

But we’re not looking to express this through the futures.

For Supercycle Report members, the better opportunity is likely in the miners. 

If Silver breaks out from here, the miners offer the most juice. We believe some of these names could more than double in a very short amount of time.

We already have a short list of names we like, and now we’re waiting for the buy signals to trigger.

If one of those setups is triggered, members will receive the full trade details directly in their inbox.

If you aren't already a member of the Supercycle Report, consider joining today so you don't miss the next trade.

Do you think Silver is about to make another big move? Let us know what you think. We may include your comment in a future post!

Commitment of Traders Highlights

  • Grains - Commercial hedgers aggressively sold Minneapolis Wheat, setting a new multi-year extreme net-short position. They're now a stone's throw away from setting a new record net-short. 
  • Softs - Commercials added more than 17,000 contracts to their largest net-short Cotton position in years. This shows that hedgers are locking gains after Cotton futures have been on a historic run since bottoming in February. 
  • Currencies - Commercial hedgers added nearly 10,000 contracts to their largest net-short Australian dollar position in years. At the same time, AUDUSD is breaking out to the highest level since 2022.

👉 Click here to download our COT Heatmap

Cheers,

- Sam & Jason 

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