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[Premium] Mid-Month Conference Call Video Recording September 2022

September 20, 2022

This is the video recording of the September 2022 Mid-month Conference Call.

We discussed:

  • What's the Bear Case?
  • One of worst starts to year for 60/40 portfolio in history
  • The impact of the US Dollar on Stocks
  • No lows list peaked 3 months ago
  • Best time to buy stocks in the 4 year cycle
  • Bearish sentiment persists
  • ARKK and Biotech stopped falling in May
  • S&P500 stuck below resistance 4100-4200
  • European Banks show relative strength
  • Midstream Stocks Breaking out - the full list
  • Corn, Soybeans and Wheat with huge bases
  • Silver bullish divergence vs Gold
  • Other Emerging Markets outpacing China
  • Small-cap Industrials stocks that are breaking out
  • 1-yr yield highest roc in 40 years
  • The Flippening Is Real
  • List of best trade ideas
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Dollar Bulls Win Again

September 20, 2022

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

The US Dollar Index $DXY is on cruise control with nothing ahead but an open road.

The few obstacles that stood in its way are falling to the wayside. That’s right – the handful of commodity currencies that have refused to roll over during the past six months are beginning to slip.

Before we get to these fresh breakdowns, let’s set the scene with two currencies that have been anything but resilient – the euro and the British pound.

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Follow the Flow (09-19-2022)

September 19, 2022

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @sstrazza

This is one of our favorite bottom-up scans: Follow the Flow.

In this note, we simply create a universe of stocks that experienced the most unusual options activity — either bullish or bearish, but not both.

We utilize options experts, both internally and through our partnership with The TradeXchange. Then, we dig through the level 2 details and do all the work upfront for our clients.

Our goal is to isolate only those options market splashes that represent levered and high-conviction, directional bets.

We also weed out hedging activity and ensure there are no offsetting trades that either neutralize or cap the risk on these unusual options trades.

What remains is a list of stocks that large financial institutions are putting big money behind.

And they’re doing so for one reason only: because they think the stock is about to move in...

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Under the Hood (09-19-2022)

September 19, 2022

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza.

Welcome back to our latest Under The Hood columne, where we'll cover all the action for the week ended September 16, 2022. This report is published bi-weekly and rotated with our Minor Leaguers column.

What we do here is analyze the most popular stocks during the week and find opportunities to either join in and ride these momentum names higher, or fade the crowd and bet against them.

We use a variety of sources to generate the list of most popular names.

There are so many new data sources available that all we need to do is organize and curate them in a way that shows us exactly what we want: a list of stocks that are seeing an unusual increase in investor interest.

Watch this video for a behind-the-scenes look at our process.

Whether we’re measuring increasing interest based on large institutional...

No Man's Land For Dow

September 19, 2022

Great weekend of Charts and Football for me!

How about you?

More Charts than Football? Or the other way around?

I definitely got a healthy dose of both.

And this one for me definitely stands out.

The way I learned it from Ralph Acampora many years ago was, "DON'T FIGHT PAPA DOW"

So here's the Papa Dow he was referring to. I included the key levels we've been focused on since the 2018 correction. They've really helped and I think they continue to.

But for today, let's focus on the fact that prices are both below overhead supply and above support from the summer lows.

From any sort of intermediate-term...

Silver Divergence. Wait, what?

September 19, 2022

Here's something you don't see every day.

Silver showing a bullish divergence?

How could this not be the chart of the day?

Gold is making new multi-year lows this week, but Silver is pushing higher.

In fact, despite the recent pressure in Gold prices, Silver is going out at the highest weekly close since early August:

Providing Healthcare

September 19, 2022

If there's one group that continues to stand out it's the Healthcare Providers.

We've been pounding the table again and again for one simple reason. The charts of the healthcare providers don't look like most of the other stocks.

These names are going from the lower left to the upper right. They're consolidating sideways, instead of lower.

This is what we call, "Relative Strength":

When Do Bull Markets Begin?

September 19, 2022

You know how I know we've been in a bear market?

Because investors got hammered. And not just in 2022, but over the past year and half.

But specifically, look at the average household over the past 2 quarters. They're seeing record losses:

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Where To Prospect for Strength

September 16, 2022

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

The big news in commodities this week is gold breaking down to its lowest level since early 2020.

I recently outlined what a downside resolution for the shiny yellow rock could mean for inflation and the entire commodity space.

Spoiler alert: a fresh leg lower from gold doesn’t bode well for raw materials or the prospects of sustained inflation.

Nevertheless, inflation hasn’t gone anywhere, at least not yet. 

As long as that’s the case, we expect commodities to see further upside, albeit not in unison. The broad rally witnessed at the end of 2020 into 2021 is unlikely to be repeated in the near future.

Regardless, stellar buying opportunities will present themselves.

We aren't going to let the bifurcated nature of commodity markets stop us from catching the next explosive rally.

In other words, the supply and demand dynamics for copper don't affect our decision to trade soybeans or wheat.

Instead, let's trade what is in front of us – even as...

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International Hall of Famers 09-16-2022)

September 16, 2022

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Our International Hall of Famers list is composed of the 100 largest US-listed international stocks, or ADRs. We’ve also sprinkled in some of the largest ADRs from countries that did not make the market cap cut. 

These stocks range from some well-known mega-cap multinationals such as Toyota Motor and Royal Dutch Shell to some large-cap global disruptors such as Sea Ltd and Shopify.

It’s got all the big names and more--but only those that are based outside the US. You can find all the largest US stocks on our original Hall of Famers list.

The beauty of these scans is really in their simplicity.

We take the largest names each week and then apply technical filters in a way that the strongest stocks with the most momentum rise to the top.

Based on the market environment, we can also flip the scan on its head and filter for weakness.

Let’s dive in and take a look at some of the most important stocks from around the world.

Here’s this week’s list:

...