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[Gold Rush] This Setup Is Too Good to Ignore 👀

May 19, 2025

The gold bugs are getting louder.

And frankly, they should be. The weight of the evidence is stacking up in their favor.

We’re not just talking about price action here, although that’s been impressive on its own. 

The intermarket relationships and momentum dynamics are all confirming what the charts have been whispering for months.

This is an uptrend. A real one. And it’s just getting started.

Let’s walk through two key charts that tell the story.

First up is Gold vs. the US 10Y Yield 👇
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I Bought Every Dip… Until I Went Broke

May 19, 2025
How Losing Everything in 2008 Taught Me to Stop Buying Weakness and Start Following Strength
 

The first time I opened a brokerage account, I didn’t know what the hell relative strength was.

I just bought dips.

In 2008…

And like clockwork, the market kept falling... and I lost everything in that little account.

Every damn dollar.

I remember thinking, “How do people actually learn to trade? Is this even possible?” It felt impossible at the time. But deep down, I knew I’d figure it out, I had to.

Fast forward a few years—I'd devoured every book, article, chart, and white paper I could find on relative strength (not to be confused with RSI—different beast).

Relative strength compares an asset’s performance to a broader index. If it drops less or climbs more, it’s showing strength. And strength attracts capital. Leaders lead. That’s the game.

But this flew in the face of everything I was ever taught…

Buy low, sell high... Where does that logic even...

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[Gold Rush] Oysters, Hurricanes, and Hard Assets 🦪🥂

May 18, 2025

I have just returned to Kansas after spending a week in New Orleans with some of the brightest minds in finance at our Portfolio Accelerator event.

I had oysters for the first time, and they exceeded my expectations. 

And I had my first hurricane, a drink that New Orleans is known for. They put way too much sugar and vodka in it... I don't think I'll try it again.

I also spent some time at the jazz bars where the music was incredible. My favorite was Pat O'Brien's Dueling Piano Bar, which I highly recommend you visit if you ever get the chance.

It was great to spend time with my Stock Market Media family. 

Jason and Spencer were unable to attend, but everyone else was there. Mary, Alfonso, Steve, Sean, Grant, Rick, Louis, Patrick, Riley, and, of course, my loud and obnoxious Cuban friend, JC.

We also welcomed friends from around the world, and I’m incredibly grateful for the deep bench of talent and insight this community brings. It’s truly the best network in the business.

One highlight was hearing Brien Lundin speak Wednesday afternoon...

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[Gold Rush Video] We're in New Orleans With The Smartest Minds in Finance ✈️

May 13, 2025

We're in New Orleans this week, surrounded by some of the smartest minds in finance at our Portfolio Accelerator event. 

The food here is incredible.

The music is loud.

And the markets are moving fast.

We put together a special video to walk you through what we’re seeing right now:

We discussed:

  • The connection between Gold, Copper, and Crude Oil.
  • Why energy stocks are struggling, and where the strength still is.
  • Precious metals are leading in 2025.
  • And our top setup in the mining space right now.
Check out the full breakdown here 👇
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[Gold Rush] This Commodity Isn't Dead, It's Just Sleeping 😴

May 5, 2025

We're amidst an epic bull market for precious metals. And while gold and silver get all the headlines, we think Palladium could end up being the sneaky outperformer in this cycle.

We laid out the case in February: Commercial hedgers were loading up at record levels

That only happens when Palladium is dirt cheap, which it certainly is right now. The price is still trading more than 70% below the 2022 peak.

Price has done nothing for months. 

But that might be exactly what we want.

Here's the seasonality setup for Palladium 👇
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[Gold Rush] Gold’s Getting Crowded 🪙

April 28, 2025

Do you remember when The Economist magazine cover had a rocket ship covered in United States dollars last year?

They said the United States was "The envy of the world."

It was so cringe...

The dollar got blasted over the next several months, and the U.S. stock market had its worst quarter in decades relative to the rest of the world.

Like any other type of market analysis, fading magazine covers is more of an art than a science.

We don't want to fade a trend just because there's a magazine cover.

The dollar was extremely overbought in the prior example, and the COT positioning tipped us off to a potential move in the opposite direction.

We waited for the market to confirm our bias, managed our risk, and made a ton of money.

Fast forward to today, and the latest Barron's magazine cover highlighted a stack of Gold bars and said:

"Investors are loading up on the metal as a haven in chaotic times. How long can it last?"

 

This comes as Gold futures are running into...

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The Best Trades Don’t Feel Like Winners at the Start

April 27, 2025

 A tribute to ASC Gold Rush's standout setups

Great trades never ring a bell. They don’t come with fanfare. They come wrapped in uncertainty, quiet conviction, and a little discomfort. That’s how you know they matter.

Take Cocoa futures. One of the cleanest breakouts we’ve seen recently, but it didn’t feel clean until after it moved. 

Before that, it was all noise and indecision.

Here’s the setup we outlined in October 👇

 

We were betting that the breakdown to new lows wasn’t going to stick.

Why? The 14-day RSI was firmly in a bullish momentum regime. 

That’s a characteristic of an uptrend… Not a downtrend!

Moreover, this was a textbook consolidation after a historic 190% bull run which unfolded over 4 months.

Here’s how the setup unfolded 👇

 

The price ripped back above support and hit our target at the upper bound of the range in just a few weeks.

It was an epic bear trap…

Admittedly, this worked much better than we expected.

We...

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[Gold Rush] Stop Fighting This Trend! 📈⚒️

April 21, 2025

Gold miners keep squeezing higher.

Why the short sellers are betting against this uptrend is beyond us.

As the great market analyst, Charlie Munger said:

"If people weren't so often wrong, we wouldn't be so rich."

Thank you, short sellers... We love you!

Our Gold Rush Index closed at a fresh all-time high last week 📈 
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[Gold Rush] Short Sellers HATE This Play - Here's Why We're Loading Up 📈⚒️

April 14, 2025

Gold Miners are ripping in 2025 as Gold futures continue to print fresh all-time highs.

Here's how the year has played out so far:

  • The S&P 500 is down 8%
  • Bitcoin is down 9%
  • Bonds are flat
  • Silver is up 12%
  • Gold is up 22%
  • And Gold Miners are up 47%

There has been a tremendous amount of dispersion in the returns.

Despite precious metals' clear leadership role this year, the short sellers have piled into the Gold miners.

Short interest in the Gold Miners ETF $GDX is the highest in years. Here's why we think it's time for a squeeze: 🍊
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[Gold Rush] More Outperformance From Shiny Rocks 📈⚒️

April 7, 2025

The publicly traded markets around the world are experiencing some of their most volatile periods ever.

Since its February peak, the S&P 500 has declined by over 20%. 

Meanwhile, Gold has shown a tremendous amount of relative strength. It's only down 6% from its all-time high...

This isn't anything new, though. We've been discussing this outperformance for years, and we don't think it will change anytime soon.

Gold has resolved a nearly 50-year basing pattern versus the median stock 📈
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[Gold Rush] Don't Buck This Trend 📈🤠

March 31, 2025

The Gold and Silver Miners have been on fire.

Today is the final trading session of Q1 2025, and these stocks are on pace for one of the best quarters ever in absolute terms. 

In relative terms, this has been the best quarter ever in many cases.

These returns have been historic, yet nobody seems to care.

We believe this strength will foster more growth in the future, and here's why.

Across all timeframes, the miners are in uptrends 📈