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[Podcast] The Bitcoin Episode w/ Greg King, Founder & CEO of OSPREY Funds

March 8, 2021

Bitcoin is a market that we are very fond of here at Allstarcharts. You've heard me say it plenty: it's a beautiful case study for Technical Analysis.

It's not a company. There are no fundamentals.

And you guys have watched us analyze the behavior of Bitcoin and other Crypto Currencies since early 2016.

It's been pretty amazing to watch and participate in a new market like this. They were telling us we were late to the party back then. They're still saying the same thing now.

My bet is crypto is here to stay. So who better to have a conversation with than Greg King, Founder & CEO of OSPREY Funds, the newest vehicle to give investors access to this market.

This is probably one of the...

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Under The Hood (03-08-2021)

March 8, 2021

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza.

Welcome back to our “latest Under The Hood” column for the week ending March 5, 2021. As a reminder, this column will be published bi-weekly moving forward, and rotated on-and-off with our new Minor Leaguers column.

In this column, we analyze the most popular stocks during the week and find opportunities to either join in and ride these momentum names higher, or fade the crowd and bet against them.

We use a variety of sources to generate the list of most popular names. There are so many new data sources available that all we need to do is organize and curate them in a way that shows us exactly what we want: A list of stocks that are seeing an unusual increase in investor interest.

Whether we’re measuring increasing interest based on large institutional purchases, unusual options activity, or simply our proprietary lists of trending tickers… there is a lot of overlap.

The bottom line is there are a million ways to skin this cat. Relying on our entire arsenal of data makes us...

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Favorable Conditions For Canadian Investors

March 7, 2021

The Canadian economy is dominated by Financials and has a diverse and abundant exposure to natural resources. Despite the close proximity, the composition of the country's stock market couldn't be more different from that of the US.

They have a much higher relative exposure to areas like Financials, Energy, and Materials... Basically, all the things that are working.

On the other hand, they have significantly lower exposure to areas like Technology, Health Care, and Discretionary... Basically, all the areas that are NOT currently working.

Long story short, considering the current backdrop of global economic growth and reflation, rising rates and commodity prices, and rotation into cyclical areas and...

Growth Investor or Portfolio Growth?

March 6, 2021

You see, just because you and your crazy friends have way too much U.S. Large-cap Growth exposure, doesn't mean the stock market is in a correction.

Stocks can do very well while Tech and Growth severely underperform.

May I remind you that Tech was the leader early in the recovery back in 2002-2003. And then handed over the baton to everyone else:

Reversion BEYOND The Mean Business

March 6, 2021

It was John Roque who taught me this so many years ago. At least a decade if I had to guess.

We're NOT in a reversion to the mean business. This is a reversion BEYOND the mean business.

In other words, assets don't just get back to what is "average". They tend to overshoot. And that's the norm, not the exception.

This mean reversion we've seen in energy could be just that, a reversion back to the average. But if I've learned anything over the years, these things tend to overshoot.

We've been very vocal about this Value rotation, of course. But coming into the weekend, the big question I pose to myself, my team, and the market for that matter, is this:

...

Small Caps Making Big Leaps Part 2

March 5, 2021

In our latest post, we highlighted the outperformance of Small-caps over large caps and shared a few ideas that we thought could perform well going forward.

Here is part 2 of the Small-cap actionable ideas. Let's see take a  look at the names that have made the cut!

Nifty Small-cap 100 has been moving past crucial resistances. As can be seen from the chart below, we're tracking 7,850 as the risk management level with 9,650 acting as the next target.

In no market can prices rally without minor corrections, so as long as this index is trading above 7,850, our bullish view remains intact.

Click on chart to enlarge view.

Now let’s take a look at some actionable ideas at current levels that look attractive on the long side for the next few weeks and months.

APL Apollo Tubes has been the leader of the pack in the metals segment. Take a look at the indicator pane, RSI hasn't moved into negative territory since...

Will FAANGs Pop The Bubble In Passive?

March 4, 2021

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

I want to elaborate on a big theme of late that's been on my mind. We've written about it, discussed it internally - as well as on Clubhouse, and just this morning JC and Willie were both tweeting about it.

One major implication of the impending trend reversal in growth vs value is its potential effect on passive investment vehicles.

Considering what a mega-trend passive investing has become with the ETF boom over the past decade-plus, this is likely to impact investors far and wide... If they don't reposition themselves appropriately.

The reason for this is nuanced but in my opinion, it boils down to the argument that passive is really just active and there have been significant changes in market structure since the financial crisis that have resulted in the major averages being dominated by just a small handful of...

Small Caps Making Big Leaps Part 1

March 4, 2021

Small-Caps are now the flavour of the season, or at least of the current market setup. With these stocks outperforming the broader market, we took a look at some stocks that could be actionable trades with good risk-reward ratios.

We've broken down this post into two parts to do justice to the number of ideas we're observing right now.

As the Small caps continue to outperform the market, the constituents belonging to this segment are expected to generate greater returns than the large-caps.

For now, it looks like this index is moving about in a market of its own. The next target that we're tracking is 9,650 and the risk management level is 7,850.

Click on chart to enlarge view.

Now let’s take a look at some actionable ideas at current levels that look attractive on the long side for the next few weeks and months.

The first thing that stands out from this chart is the giant base that the stock is breaking out of! Just look at that, this is a 15-year breakout. 15 years! Balrampur Chini seems like...

The Outperformers

March 3, 2021

We debuted a new scan recently- The Outperformers.

The Outperformers is our newest scan that pinpoints the very best stocks in the market. It’s the fastest, easiest way to find quality names that are primed for major moves.

The goal is that as the market rally progresses, the sector rotation within the market will reflect in this scan. So while our Top/Down Analysis helps us with the broader view of the market, this Bottom/Up scan makes sure that we catch the slightest change in sentiment.

March Strategy Session: Three Key Takeaways

March 2, 2021

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza and Ian Culley @IanCulley.

We held our March Monthly Strategy Session last night which Premium Members can access and rewatch here.

In this post, we’ll provide a summary of the call by highlighting three of the most important charts and topics we covered along with commentary on each.

Let’s dive into it.

We're Buyers Of Gold Miners... Again.

March 2, 2021

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza and Ian Culley @IanCulley

We think it's time to buy Gold Miners again, specifically the VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF $GDX.

The yellow metal has not been a great place to deploy capital over the last 6 months as the environment has significantly favored stocks over rocks... and risk-assets over defensive ones in general.

Owning Gold or Gold Miners has been nothing more but opportunity cost. However, there is mounting evidence that suggests now might be the time to jump back into this trade.

First, Commodities have really been working as an asset class. We've been pointing this out for months now, from Industrial Metals and Ags to even petroleum-based commodities.

Although through the early innings of this Commodities resurgence, Gold and Gold Miners have taken a back seat as prices peaked all the way back in the summer of last year and have been trending lower since.

We think that...