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Have you figured it out yet?

Is Bitcoin about to roll over here?

Or are we flagging before the next run-up?

The beauty of this game is that we don't need to predict the future...

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They teach you this stuff at technical analysis kindergarten.

Buy support.

Sell resistance.

Of course, in the real world, with our primitive monkey brains, implementing this into a trading system is easier said than done. Just...

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Over the last week, we've seen some mild profit-taking, with Bitcoin and Ethereum chopping around following retests of critical resistance levels.

Our thesis remains that a structural shift has occurred, with the short- and intermediate-term...

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This is it.

When people ask us what's been happening in the world of crypto, this is the chart we show them.

Bitcoin -- and...

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Another positive week -- add it to the growing tally!

This is the first time Bitcoin's been up for four consecutive weeks since August 2021. Similarly, Bitcoin's 14-day RSI eclipsed its highest level going back more than two years.

We...

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I hear ya.

You don't want boring words.

You want trade ideas!

We know we haven't published many over the last year. But this has been a purposeful decision.

Think about what's happened. People who forced old strategies...

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There's a high degree of momentum driving the market.

Last week, we saw a continuation of this bullish action, with Bitcoin and altcoins taking out local resistance levels.

This comes as little surprise, considering the trends are now...

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We did it.

We've flipped the book long.

With Bitcoin $BTC and Ethereum $ETH reclaiming their prior-cycle highs, we even went as far as arguing that this recent move represents a...

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What a week, eh?

Bitcoin had its best week in two years, with the orange coin rallying 22%. Many coins followed suit, with names like Solana gaining a whopping 60% last week.

This move was merely a continuation of the momentum...

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There's no denying many alts have posted sizeable gains over the last week.

But the fact remains that the appropriate conditions have yet to align for us to flip the book long.

Perhaps the best example of this is the recent move in...

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Over the last week, we've seen momentum flow down the cap scale in crypto markets. Many altcoins have posted sizeable gains coming from historically skewed levels.

This is happening in the context of a tightening volatility regime, where price...

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Make no mistake: Volatility is around the corner.

While price action is trending in nature, volatility mean-reverts. Periods of low volatility precede volatility expansions and vice versa.

So, where do we find ourselves today?

...

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This market's been so easy, right?

You literally had to do nothing, and you've outperformed some of the most sophisticated crypto trading firms on the planet.

By loss realization and institutional contagion, this is the single worst...

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There's no denying it.

The US dollar has been an incredible reflection of financial conditions this year. By extension, the correlations between the dollar and risk assets have held firm.

Equities and crypto were under pressure whenever...

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The strategy was simple: long Coinbase $COIN above the May lows while cutting our losses below there.

And, lo and behold, it took out those pivot lows. Like any responsible trader...

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What a sloppy tape.

Don't let these drawdowns fool you; there is nothing stopping this market from getting worse. Over the last week, we've seen even more downside participation manifest, with many coins taking out their most recent November...

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