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[Gold Rush] More Outperformance From Shiny Rocks 📈⚒️

April 7, 2025

The publicly traded markets around the world are experiencing some of their most volatile periods ever.

Since its February peak, the S&P 500 has declined by over 20%. 

Meanwhile, Gold has shown a tremendous amount of relative strength. It's only down 6% from its all-time high...

This isn't anything new, though. We've been discussing this outperformance for years, and we don't think it will change anytime soon.

Gold has resolved a nearly 50-year basing pattern versus the median stock 📈
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(Commodities Weekly) Running on Empty: This Chart's Out of Fuel 📉

April 4, 2025

What a week for the global asset markets.

On Wednesday, the United States announced new tariffs against dozens of countries. This set off a wave of selling pressure, which appears to have no end in sight.

Silver is down nearly 15% this week...

Copper was down nearly 15% this week...

Lumber was down 13% this week...

The energy complex was down nearly 10% across the board this week...

Even Gold fell 2% this week.

It was quick. It was nasty. And it's not over.

For the bears out there, it's hard to find a better setup than Crude Oil futures.

This chart is out of energy 👇 

Crude Oil futures have broken a confluence...

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[Gold Rush] Don't Buck This Trend 📈🤠

March 31, 2025

The Gold and Silver Miners have been on fire.

Today is the final trading session of Q1 2025, and these stocks are on pace for one of the best quarters ever in absolute terms. 

In relative terms, this has been the best quarter ever in many cases.

These returns have been historic, yet nobody seems to care.

We believe this strength will foster more growth in the future, and here's why.

Across all timeframes, the miners are in uptrends 📈
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(Commodities Weekly) Base Metals Are Heating Up: Copper’s Just the Start 📈♨️

March 28, 2025

Copper futures are breaking out to new all-time highs. Is this a signal for the whole Base Metals complex?

We think so and here's why.

When Copper leads, the rest of the base metals often follow. 

We've seen this happen in numerous cycles. The last occurrence was in 2020.

This trade is even better when Gold is the first one out of the gate, which is the case this cycle. We discussed it a few weeks ago - be sure to check out that post if you haven't already.

The evidence for a base metals rally has been stacking up recently. Aluminum is shaping up nicely, and we think it could be one of the next to go.

From there, we expect Steel, Nickel, Tin, Zinc, and all of the rest to follow.

Our Equal-Weight Base Metals Index looks ready to break out: 

This index holds an equally-weighted basket...

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[Gold Rush] The Demise of Fiat Currency 💱🪙

March 24, 2025

In case you missed it, we're amid a raging precious metals bull market.

Gold miners are playing catch-up, and they keep making new highs.

Silver is on the cusp of resolving a historical base that dates back to 1980 when the Hunt Brothers tried to corner the market.

All the while, the yellow metal is soaring versus every fiat currency in the universe.

Gold is printing fresh all-time highs in the commodity currencies 👇
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(Commodities Weekly) Energy is on Fire in 2025: Here's What We're Doing About It 🛢️🔥

March 21, 2025

Investors in the United States are panicking because their tech stocks are sucking.

Their irresponsibly large positions in Microsoft and Nvidia have come around to bite them in the rear.

Which investors have been sheltered from this pain? The ones who own Energy stocks! 

These shareholders have, for the most part, been treated poorly over the last 15 years. 

However, that wasn't the case in the post-COVID bull market. It also hasn't been the case so far this year.

Energy has been the best sector so far in 2025: 

As you can see, the Energy Sector SPDR $XLE is up over 8% this year. It's the best-performing sector.

Conversely, Technology $XLK and Consumer Discretionary $XLY have been significant laggards. They're the only sectors trailing the S&P 500.

We think this relative strength from energy can persist. Here's why 👇

Energy stocks are above key levels of former resistance:  

The NYSE Natural Gas Index $XNG and the NYSE Oil & Gas Index $XOI are both in the process of resolving multi-decade basing patterns.

Structural trend reversals can be messy, but the path of...

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[Gold Rush] It's Time For The Miners to Play Catch-Up 📈⚒️

March 17, 2025

Silver is squeezing higher to new multi-month highs and looks poised to climb higher to fresh multi-decade highs shortly.

This is happening on the heels of this precious metals bull market recently turning 1 year old.

Gold futures are also trading above 3,000 dollars for the first time ever.

All of this combined has fueled the animal spirits in the mining industry.

Our custom miner index is at an all-time high 📈
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(Commodities Weekly) These Lines Dance Together 🕺📈

March 14, 2025

Copper futures have so many tailwinds working for it right now. We think it's ready to breakout to new all-time highs.

We've talked about the strong positive correlation it has with Chinese stocks. This remains the case. 

In addition, base and industrial metals have been ripping. Just look at the setup in Aluminum futures

We think it would make sense for Dr. Copper to lead its peers higher. This has already been playing out in precious metals.

The shiny yellow rock has been leading its peers higher, and now Silver futures are a stone's throw away from multi-decade highs. 

Gold futures hit 3,000 for the first time to make things even sweeter. Surpassing...

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[Gold Rush Video] Gold Bugs Reign Supreme 📊👑

March 11, 2025

While U.S. equity investors are panicking, the Gold Bugs are riding powerful uptrends. It's a fantastic time to own shiny rocks.

Yesterday, we discussed the short interest in Silver hitting a record high. We think it's time for Gold's crazy cousin to shine.

In addition to that, we covered a variety of subjects in today's video, including: 

  • The largest 4-week inflow into Gold on record
  • Wild swings in the currency markets
  • International stock markets
  • Shiny rocks > stocks
  • Seasonal sweet spot for Gold & Silver miners
  • And what we're buying
Check it out 👇
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(Commodities Weekly) What the Lumber Market is Telling Us 📊🪵

March 7, 2025

Stock market bulls have been watching the homies like hawks. 

It's a vital industry right now.

Alfonso recently wrote about the Home Construction ETF $ITB breaking to new lows relative to its defensive peer group, the Real Estate ETF $IYR.

He said, "This ratio has historically been a leading indicator for the broader market. During prior cycles, you can see clear divergences where ITB/IYR tops or bottoms ahead of major turns in the S&P 500." 

See the chart for yourself. The data doesn't lie. 

If the equity bull market in the United States is going to continue, this group cannot complete a massive top.

Here's the setup that everyone is watching 👇

The homies are hangin' on by a thread: 

As you can see, the iShares U.S. Home Construction Index $ITB has carved out a prolonged potential distribution pattern. 

The index...

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[Gold Rush] This Precious Metals Bull Market Just Hit Its First Anniversary 🥳

March 3, 2025

This precious metals bull market will turn 1 year old on Tuesday.

Can you believe it? 

Gold futures resolved a multi-decade basing pattern on March 4th, 2024.

We've had a blast riding the shiny yellow metal higher and made a ton of money along the way.

The cycle has had its ups and downs, no doubt about it.

But when we zoom out and analyze the long-term trends, it's clear what environment we're in. A raging bull market!

Buyers are being rewarded, and sellers are being penalized. This is what happens in uptrends.

Let's take a moment to step back and assess our progress over the last year.

Check out this performance chart 👇