In technical analysis kindergarten, you'll learn there are 3 asset classes: stocks, bonds, AND commodities.
Without all 3, you're missing a piece of the puzzle and are putting yourself at a disadvantage.
Since commodities peaked in absolute and relative terms in 2022, they have dramatically underperformed stocks.
It's gotten to the extent where there's not any momentum to the downside remaining.
Commodities have carved out a massive bullish momentum divergence relative to stocks since the start of 2024:
As you can see, DBC/SPY has made lower highs and lower lows all year while the 14-day RSI (momentum) has made higher highs and higher lows.
In addition, the ratio is at the same level it was when it bottomed in the prior cycle and began a multi-year uptrend.
It's now or never. If the commodity bulls are going to reverse this downtrend versus stocks, they need to show up now.
The Invesco Commodity Index $DBC has carved out a textbook basing pattern:
The Invesco Commodity Index is composed of over 55% energy, 10%...