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[Options P2P] Daily Digest 11/18/24

November 18, 2024

In today’s Daily Digest, we’ll review the following:

  1. No new positions today.
  2. Rolled XLI to January options.
  3. Closed XRT at profit target.
  4. Current status of open campaigns.
  5. Volatility Snapshot.

Let’s dig in!

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The Minor Leaguers (11-18-2024)

November 18, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Welcome to The Minor Leaguers.

We've had some great trades come out of this small-cap-focused column since we launched it back in 2020 and started rotating it with our flagship bottom-up scan, Under the Hood.

For the first year or so, we focused only on Russell 2000 stocks with a market cap between $1 and $2B.

That was fun, but we wanted to branch out a bit and allow some new stocks to find their way onto our list.

We expanded our universe to include some mid-caps.

Nowadays, to make the cut for our Minor Leaguers list, a company must have a market cap between $1 and $4B.

And it doesn't have to be a Russell component — it can be any US-listed equity. With participation expanding around the globe, we want all those ADRs in our universe.

The same price and liquidity filters are applied. Then, as always, we sort by proximity to new...

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(Commodities Weekly) Have You Seen This Divergence?

November 15, 2024

In technical analysis kindergarten, you'll learn there are 3 asset classes: stocks, bonds, AND commodities.

Without all 3, you're missing a piece of the puzzle and are putting yourself at a disadvantage.

Since commodities peaked in absolute and relative terms in 2022, they have dramatically underperformed stocks.

It's gotten to the extent where there's not any momentum to the downside remaining.

Commodities have carved out a massive bullish momentum divergence relative to stocks since the start of 2024:

 

As you can see, DBC/SPY has made lower highs and lower lows all year while the 14-day RSI (momentum) has made higher highs and higher lows.

In addition, the ratio is at the same level it was when it bottomed in the prior cycle and began a multi-year uptrend. 

It's now or never. If the commodity bulls are going to reverse this downtrend versus stocks, they need to show up now.

The Invesco Commodity Index $DBC has carved out a textbook basing pattern:

 

The Invesco Commodity Index is composed of over 55% energy, 10%...

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The Hall of Famers (11-15-2024)

November 15, 2024

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Our Hall of Famers list is composed of the 150 largest US-based stocks.

These stocks range from the mega-cap growth behemoths like Apple and Microsoft – with market caps in excess of $2T – to some of the new-age large-cap disruptors such as Moderna, Square, and Snap.

It has all the big names and more.

It doesn’t include ADRs or any stock not domiciled in the US. But don’t worry; we developed a separate universe for that. Click here to check it out.

The Hall of Famers is simple.

We take our list of 150 names and then apply our technical filters so the strongest stocks with the most momentum rise to the top.

Let’s dive right in and check out what these big boys are up to.

Here’s this week’s list:

 

*Click table to enlarge view

We filter out any laggards that are down -5% or more relative to the S&P 500 over the trailing month.

Then...

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[Options Premium] Speaking of Vacation...

November 15, 2024

Our last trade idea post was titled "European Vacation." Today's trade is in a name that is most definitely in the vacation theme.

And if you've attempted to book a hotel room in the past year, you know that rates are soaring. This might be bad for budget-sensitive travelers, but it can be bullish for investors.

So let's hedge our travel expenses.

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[Options P2P] Daily Digest 11/15/24

November 15, 2024

In today’s Daily Digest, we’ll review the following:

  1. No new positions today.
  2. Rolled TLT to January options.
  3. Closed IWM at profit target.
  4. Current status of open campaigns.
  5. Volatility Snapshot.

Let’s dig in!

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[Options P2P] Daily Digest 11/14/24

November 14, 2024

In today’s Daily Digest, we’ll review the following:

  1. New position in IGV.
  2. No adjustments are needed today.
  3. No exists since the last report.
  4. Current status of open campaigns.
  5. Volatility Snapshot.

Let’s dig in!