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Bonds Trigger a Tactical Buy

May 16, 2024

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

Rates are rolling over… 

And bonds are catching a bid.

After four months of steady selling pressure, US Treasuries are finally carving out a tradeable low.

Let’s take a look!

Regardless of duration, the following bond charts present an identical tactical approach.

Two key themes dominate these trade setups: entry points designated by price reclaiming the February 2024 lows and initial targets set at the December 2023 highs.

Of course, there’s always an exception…

Check out the US 30-year T-bond futures:

Like the following charts, we can measure our risk at a key pivot low from late February.

I like buying T-bond futures against 117’27. But instead of targeting the December 27th high of 125’30, I prefer to aim at a critical shelf of former lows at approximately 122’30.

If and when price manages...

Corrections Happen During Bull Markets

May 16, 2024

Stock prices don't go straight up, even during bull markets.

Corrections are a normal phenomenon.

Messy market environments are perfectly normal too.

And that's exactly what we've seen.

To be clear, corrections and messy market environments for several months at a time do not change the fact that it's still a bull market.

We've been in a bull market for almost 2 years. That hasn't changed.

The bigger question is whether this bull market is now ready to resume? Or is more churning, sector rotation and further sentiment adjustment still necessary?

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The Short Report (05-15-2024)

May 16, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

When investing in the stock market, we always want to approach it as "a market of stocks."

Regardless of the environment, there are always stocks showing leadership and trending higher.

We may have to look harder to identify them depending on current market conditions. But there are always stocks that are going up.

The same can be said for weak stocks. Regardless of the environment, there are always stocks that are going down, too. 

We already have multiple scans focusing on stocks making all-time highs, such as Hall of Famers, Minor Leaguers, and the 2 to 100 Club.

We filter these universes for stocks that are exhibiting the best momentum and relative strength characteristics. 

Clearly, we spend a lot of time identifying and writing about leading stocks every week, via multiple reports.

Now, we're also highlighting lagging stocks on a recurring basis.

Welcome to the Short Report.

We...

Stocks Hit New All-time Highs!

May 16, 2024

S&P500 New All-time Highs

Nasdaq Composite New All-time Highs

NYSE Composite New All-time Highs

Dow Jones Industrial Average New All-time Highs

Are you noticing a trend?

And it's not just 7 stocks either.

Actually the Russell3000 Index just hit New All-time Highs as well. This index represents approximately 98% of all investable assets in the U.S. Equities market.

Here it is breaking records before your very eyes:

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[Options Premium] I AM GOLD

May 15, 2024

I. AM. GOLD.

I mean, it's right there in the name. This company makes no bones about what they do. And I'm into it. Especially when I'm looking for a leveraged play into the metals sector for a potentially big move.

Buying here might not be for the feignt of heart, but if you love gap-no-go patterns with a long time horizon to play out, this might be the golden ticket.

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📈 Memecoin Deepdive

May 15, 2024

GameStop and a number of speculative meme stocks have rallied in tremendous fashion this week. At the same time, we've yet to see this activity catch on in the crypto space.

I think as animal spirits reignite in this speculative securities, we'll eventually see a natural rotation that will bid higher a variety of meme coins in the crypto space.

Today's letter is a look at a variety of individual names and how I'm seeing this entire dynamic through the lens of the crypto asset class.