Dividend Aristocrats are easily some of the most desirable investments on Wall Street.
These are the names that have increased dividends for at least 25 years, providing steadily increasing income to long-term-minded shareholders.
As you can imagine, the companies making up this prestigious list are some of the most recognizable brands in the world.
Coca-Cola, Walmart, and Johnson & Johnson are just a few of the household names making the cut.
Here at All Star Charts, we like to stay ahead of the curve. That's why we're turning our attention to the future aristocrats.
In an effort to seek out the next generation of the cream-of-the-crop dividend plays, we're curating a list of stocks that have raised their payouts every year for five to nine years.
We call them the Young Aristocrats, and the idea is that these are "stocks that pay you to make money."
Imagine if years of consistent dividend growth and high momentum and relative strength had a baby, leaving you with the best of the emerging dividend giants that are outperforming the averages.
While many investors have been focused on arbitrary lagging indicators like the economy, we rather keep our attention on reality.
We're grown adults. We don't need bedtime stories to go to sleep at night. So fairytales about recessions, or inflations, or bidens are just not anything we're interested in.
We get paid to sell things at higher prices than where we buy them.
That bet has paid off handsomely for us and anyone listening.
So as investors we all have a choice. Do we bet that the correlation is all of a sudden going to change tomorrow? Or do we bet that things just remain the same?
The two major catalysts that will propel gold to new all-time highs are veering in different directions.
US real yields are challenging fresh decade highs (not ideal for a gold rally) while the dollar is pressing against its year-to-date lows.
A breakdown in the US dollar index $DXY would no doubt send gold bugs dancing in the streets everywhere around the world.
I believe a weaker dollar remains critical to the next secular uptrend in Gold. But do real yields need to roll over as well?
I’m leaning toward no. Here’s why…
First, a quick reminder as to why real yields represent a potential headwind for Gold:
An inverted chart of the US 10y real rate looks almost identical to a chart of gold futures, as the inverse relationship between these two has been strong over the past 15 years.
So it stands to reason that rising rates would hinder any meaningful rally in Gold.
And so far, they have. Gold has gone nowhere (down roughly 10%) as the 10y real yield has risen almost 300bps since March 2022. That’s not much of a decline considering the explosive increase in the real yield....