Our precious metals index is hitting fresh 52-week highs despite the waning strength in gold and silver.
Only three markets comprise the index. That leaves only one possible culprit – platinum!
First palladium, now platinum?
It doesn’t matter whether you consider platinum or palladium true precious metals. The industrious side of the family is chipping in, supporting a new structural uptrend for the entire space.
Our precious metals index is hitting fresh 52-week highs despite the waning strength in gold and silver.
Only three markets comprise the index. That leaves only one possible culprit – platinum!
First palladium, now platinum?
It doesn’t matter whether you consider platinum or palladium true precious metals. The industrious side of the family is chipping in, supporting a new structural uptrend for the entire space.
Let’s check it out!
Before we dive into the levels…
Commercial hedgers are unwinding their net-long position after reaching extremes last year. Similar positioning in 2018 marked a key inflection point, resulting in a multi-year rally.
The bullish sentiment of commercial hedgers supports a sustained rally (much like the positioning in palladium).
Whether platinum catches higher in the coming weeks and months partially depends on a further unwind in commercial positioning.
Remember, commitments of traders positioning reflects sentiment. It’s not a trade signal. But it does reveal critical aspects of the market environment. In this case, it’s...
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There aren't a whole lot of juicy premiums out there (thank you plummeting $VIX!), but there is an ETF in a sector that looks set up for some sideways digestion over the near term that should play nice with a short Strangle.
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The increased selling pressure across grain markets might not be on your radar.
But pay close attention: The soybean complex, corn, and wheat are edging toward their respective year-to-date lows as demand wanes.
Even if you don’t trade these ag contracts, fresh multi-month lows – especially in wheat – carry broad implications for equities and cyclical assets. (Hint: It has to do with crude oil.)
That’s why I’m on high alert for a potential breakdown in Chicago wheat…
Wheat has been in a strong downtrend since its March 2022 peak, entering a bearish momentum regime last summer.
Notice it's currently carving out a potential multi-month reversal pattern below a significant polarity zone.
But the bulls have their work cut out for them, as the bearish momentum profile suggests sellers are still in control of the market.