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The Real-World AI Trade

Data centers need power, infrastructure, and metals, and aluminum stocks are breaking out like they know it.

There are market themes you can understand by staring at a chart.

Then there are market themes that become obvious when you sit in a room full of people who are paid to see the future before everyone else does.

This week, we were in Nashville for the Stock Market Media Portfolio Accelerator event, where some of the smartest minds in finance came together to talk through the biggest opportunities in the market right now. 

And after spending time with renowned technology analyst Dan Ives, one thing became even clearer to us: the AI revolution is still in the early innings.

That matters for obvious reasons, such as data centers and semiconductors.

But it also matters for commodities.

AI runs on electricity, infrastructure, cooling systems, transmission networks, servers, buildings, and metals.

Everyone wants to talk about the latest AI models, and it’s a very important part of the story.

But someone still has to build the physical world that makes it all possible.

That’s where we come in.

Here at the Supercycle Report, we are focused on the real assets behind the AI story. The companies that benefit when the world needs to build, wire, power, and reinforce the next generation of technology.

That was a major part of the presentation we gave at Portfolio Accelerator.

We walked through the global macro backdrop, the ongoing bond crash, rising yields worldwide, and the rotation unfolding within the commodity supercycle. 

We discussed the major leadership shifts unfolding beneath the market's surface and highlighted the areas where capital continues to flow.

And here's one thing that stood out...

If the AI buildout is still in its early stages, demand for the physical inputs behind it is not going away anytime soon.

That brings us to the chart of our Aluminum Index.

This is an equal-weight basket of Alcoa $AA, Century Aluminum $CENX, Constellium $CSTM, and Kaiser Aluminum $KALU. 

It gives us a clear view of the aluminum producers and processors that stand to benefit from rising demand across infrastructure, transportation, aerospace, defense, electrification, reshoring, and the physical buildout required to support AI.

And the chart is outstanding!

After spending years carving out a massive basing pattern, the index is now breaking out to new all-time highs. 

The first major leg came off the 2020 lows, when aluminum stocks exploded higher alongside the broader commodity complex. 

Then for several years, the group chopped sideways and shook out the weak hands.

And now, with the group making new all-time highs, the buyers are decisively back in control. 

The fundamental backdrop only makes the setup more compelling. 

Aluminum is a critical input for the modern economy... 

It shows up in cars, planes, buildings, packaging, power systems, transmission infrastructure, defense applications, and countless industrial processes.

Now add the AI buildout on top of that.

The entire physical layer of the AI boom requires metals, and aluminum is one of the most important inputs in that chain.

We have a feeling our next trade will come from the aluminum industry.

If you aren't already a member of the Supercycle Report, consider joining today so you don't miss the next trade.

What do you think about metals like aluminum? Let us know what you think. We may include your comment in a future post!

Cheers,

- Sam & Jason 

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