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(Commodities Weekly) Brewing Profits in the Futures Market 📈☕

February 1, 2025

We first began hedging our coffee addiction last summer, and boy, has it paid off.

In the five months since we first got long, the caffeine-packed bean has rallied over 50%. 

That's a massive move for a commodity in such a short amount of time!

But we think this one's just getting started and will likely surge higher for the foreseeable future.

Coffee futures are breaking out of a 48-year base: 

In technical analysis kindergarten, you'll learn that "the bigger the base, the higher in space." This is especially true in this case.

We think this long-term parabolic uptrend has the potential to carry the price far higher than we can imagine.

Just look at how cocoa rallied 400% in less than 2-years.

For now, we're targeting 524 and 823 over longer timeframes.

Coffee futures are reaching...
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Whenever they say "Tariffs" Buy More Stocks

February 1, 2025

The strategy this year has been simple.

Whenever you hear them say the word "Tariffs", you call your broker, or open your brokerage account, and you buy more stocks, particularly the Chinese ones.

And who is "they" exactly? 

You know who "they" is. Mostly the noisemakers. People who produce tv shows about "trading", or write "news" articles about financial markets. Permabears looking for their next excuse to make poor decisions...

You know, they!

"They" are the ones we want to fade. 

"We" are the ones who we want to make money.

And so every time they tell you the stock market is going to fall because of something they call "Tariffs", we just buy more stocks betting that stocks will rise in price (because or despite these so called, "Tariffs").

So far this is working. China doubled the returns of the Nasdaq100 in January, with the $FXI returning 4.7% last month. Meanwhile, the Chinese Internet ETF $KWEB rallied almost 7% for January.

As a reminder, we are in the midst of a bullish momentum thrust regime for Chinese stocks, so this shouldn't be surprising.

That momentum thrust, that consistently shows...

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International Hall of Famers (01-31-2025)

January 31, 2025

Our International Hall of Famers list is composed of the 100 largest US-listed international stocks, or ADRs.

We've also sprinkled in some of the largest ADRs from countries that did not make the market cap cut. 

These stocks range from some well-known mega-cap multinationals such as Toyota Motor and Royal Dutch Shell to some large-cap global disruptors such as Sea Ltd and Shopify.

It's got all the big names and more–but only those that are based outside the US. You can find all the largest US stocks on our original Hall of Famers list.

The beauty of these scans is really in their simplicity.

We take the largest names each week and then apply technical filters in a way that the strongest stocks with the most momentum rise to the top.

Based on the market environment, we can also flip the scan on its head and filter for weakness.

Let's dive in and take a look at some of the most important stocks from around the world.

Here's this week's list:

...
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[Options P2P] Daily Digest 1/31/25

January 31, 2025

In today’s Daily Digest, we’ll review the following:

  1. No new positions today.
  2. Adjustment to XLV Position.
  3. No exits since the last report.
  4. Current status of open campaigns.
  5. Volatility Snapshot.

Let’s dig in!

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Junior International Hall of Famers (01-30-2025)

January 30, 2025

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Welcome to The Junior International Hall of Famers.

With the goal of finding more bullish setups, we have decided to expand one of our favorite scans and broaden our regular coverage of the largest US-listed international stocks, or ADRs.

This scan is composed of the next 100 largest stocks by market cap, those that come after the top 100 and are thus covered by the International Hall of Famers universe.

Many of these names will someday graduate and join our original International Hall Of Famers list. The idea here is to catch these big trends as early on as possible.

Let’s dive right in and check out what these future big boys are up to.

This is our Junior International Hall of Famers list:

 

Click table to enlarge view

And here’s how we arrived at it…

We removed laggards which are down 5% or more relative to the ACWI Ex. U.S. Index $ACWX over the trailing...

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[Options P2P] Daily Digest 1/30/25

January 30, 2025

In today’s Daily Digest, we’ll review the following:

  1. No new positions today.
  2. Adjustment to XLC Position.
  3. No exits since the last report.
  4. Current status of open campaigns.
  5. Volatility Snapshot.

Let’s dig in!

All Star Charts Gold Rush,
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[Gold Rush Video] Your Favorite Gold Bugs are in NYC 🏙️

January 29, 2025

We're in New York City for the Portfolio Accelerator this week, which has been tremendous.

This morning, we led a discussion about metals, bonds, economic data, and much more. Paul Ciena, the chief technical strategist at Bank of America, overlayed momentum with the unemployment rate (such a junky thing to do haha).

The technical analysis and conversations have been off the charts here. 

We recorded an extra special episode of Gold Rush for you all LIVE from New York City. 

Check it out 👇
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[Options Premium] Is This the Moment for Bitcoin?

January 29, 2025

I'm at the All Star Charts Portfolio Accelerator event in New York City. 

One topic I discussed this morning with everyone is a volatility-triggered setup I'm seeing in the iShares Bitcoin ETF $IBIT. We have a short history to work with, but this bears attention.

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[Options P2P] Daily Digest 1/29/25

January 29, 2025

In today’s Daily Digest, we’ll review the following:

  1. New position in XLY.
  2. No adjustments are needed today.
  3. No exits since the last report.
  4. Current status of open campaigns.
  5. Volatility Snapshot.

Let’s dig in!

2 to 100 Club,
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2 to 100 Club (01-29-2025)

January 29, 2025

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Welcome to The 2 to 100 Club.

In this scan, we look to identify the strongest growth stocks as they climb the market-cap ladder from small- to mid- to large- and, ultimately, to mega cap status (over $200B).

Once they graduate from small-cap to mid-cap status (over $2B), they come on our radar. Likewise, when they surpass the roughly $30B mark, they roll off our list.

But the scan doesn't just end there.

We only want to look at the strongest growth industries in the market, as that is typically where these potential 50-baggers come from.

Some of the best performers in recent decades – stocks like Priceline, Amazon, Netflix, Salesforce, and myriad others – would have been on this list at some point during their journey to becoming the market behemoths they are today.

When you look at the stocks in our table, you'll notice we're only focused on Technology and Growth industry groups such as Software, Semiconductors, Online...