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Reader Mail: Selecting Options Strikes

January 19, 2023

I got a lot of feedback on my last letter where I suggested active traders need to stop trading Covered Call spreads for tactical trades and instead do a simple Naked Puts trade.

Thank you to everyone who engaged.

Anyway, here’s one question [edited to the important parts] I got from a reader where I thought my answer might be instructive to more of you:

Hi Sean,

I read your information on naked puts. When I intend to buy a stock, I would like to sell a put. I just don't know how to go about it. I just don't know where the strike price would be. I understand that I would have to buy the stock at that price (whether it is better or worse than hoped).

If you could give me an example that would help.

Cheers!

This is a great question, but one without a clear-cut answer. Here was my response:

A Pivotal Moment

January 19, 2023

Forget cryptocurrencies. Look at these crypto stocks!

Seriously, some of these moves have been nuts.

We took a small long in MicroStrategy $MSTR at the lows, and it hit our 50%-plus target in just two weeks.

Crazy...

If cryptocurrencies are going to start trending higher -- which is our bet -- these stocks face serious resistance.

But let's approach this with a level head.

S&P500 New 52-week Lows Relative To Other Developed

January 19, 2023

The underperformance out of U.S. Large-cap Growth indexes continues.

It's not the stock market's fault that the S&P500 has way too much exposure to large-cap growth.

And when we talk about "the stock market", there are countries outside of the United States that continue to shine.

Today's Chart of the Day shows the S&P500 hitting new 52-week lows relative to Developed Countries outside of North America:

[Video] What the FICC?: Dollar Down, Stocks Up

January 19, 2023

It's the weekly currency edition of What the FICC?

The US dollar index $DXY registered a "death cross" last week, confirming a bearish trend reversal.

But it's not the confirmation of the dollar downtrend that has my attention. It's what the signal suggests for stocks in the coming months and quarters.

Check it out!