Last night we held a Happy Hour With Traders and discussed market internals and breadth with some of the best Technicians in the business. We focused mainly on the more popular aggregate breadth indicators such as the percentage of new highs and lows, the percentage of stocks above the 200-day, and so on.
We also talked a bit about our process for analyzing breadth on a more granular level, which is simply by looking at our universe of indexes, sectors, industry groups, and individual stocks each week. When we run our scans and look at the individual charts themselves, we continue to see a higher number of new highs and bullish momentum characteristics.
This is evidence of improving breadth.
This week's Mystery Chart was one of the latest Industry Groups we noticed making fresh all-time highs. In this post, we'll discuss the chart and offer some trade ideas in some of the groups' strongest components.
Interestingly, while this week's chart was quite similar to others we've used recently - a base breakout to fresh highs with strong momentum characteristics and well-...
It's always fun chatting with Catherine over at BNN Bloomberg. She has the uncanny ability of getting me on her show just at the right time! In February, I explained very clearly why we were raising cash (the week before the biggest market crash ever), and then in early July I was screaming on television to buy stocks aggressively, just before a slew of new sectors started breaking out to the upside.
Today, I have a similar bullish view. This is a market that is rewarding us for buying stocks. That's the bottom line. And we don't see any evidence of that changing yet. Catherine also asked me about the Bond Market and I explained why I think rates go higher.
We like the have fun with these. Life is short. I hope you enjoy it!
The Fixed Income, Commodity, and Currency markets are near and dear to my heart. Ever since I began learning Technical Analysis, I've always loved analyzing things that are "off the beaten path." This included everything from Interest Rates to Soybeans to the Norwegian Krone. Equities are great and all, but this is the stuff that gets me up in the morning.
In addition to the blog posts we do on the site, I've wanted to explore new ways to share that passion with you all and show why even if you're not investing in these markets directly, they're worth paying attention to.
That brings us to my new weekly show, "What The FICC?"
In this weekly video series, I'll be highlighting the most important chart or theme from these three asset classes while doing my best to tie that analysis back to Equities through an intermarket signal or a trade idea.
These are the registration details for the live monthly conference call for Premium Members of All Star Charts.
This month’s Conference Call will be held onTuesday August 18th at 6PM ET. As always, if you cannot make the call live, the video and slides will be archived and published here along with every other live call since 2015.
JC published a piece on Monday highlighting the rotation we're seeing into Transportation stocks. A bunch of names on that list have already experienced some good moves. But one of the names is likely to start playing catch up and that has me interested.
When owning an ETF, it's important to understand how it's constructed. In other words, you need to know what you own.
When it comes to the Emerging Markets ETF $EEM, you're essentially betting on Asia as ~72% of its holdings are from China, Taiwan, South Korea, and India.
Some might say these are the most important charts in Emerging Markets...so let's take a look.
This week on Happy Hour with Traders, I sit down with my old friend James Bartelloni. Some of you have seen him before, Chart Summit 2018 or on the podcast: Season 2 Episode 10. For those of you who are new to Bart and his ways of approaching markets, I encourage you to set aside some time to hear him out.
I first met Bart back in 2006 when I began studying for my CMT Exams. Back in the day they used to have this thing called CMTi, where CMT Charterholders would help candidates prepare for the various levels and teach classes online. They don't do that anymore, which is unfortunate, because there's no way I would have passed that CMT Level 2 exam without Bart's help.
Anyway, Bart likes to refer to himself as an "Intermarket Musician". He looks at musical notes and the earth's vibrations to help him make sense of market behavior. Don't dismiss it right away. Trust me. Give it a chance. He also dives into what he's...
At the beginning of each week we publish performance tables for a variety of different asset classes and categories along with commentary on each.
Looking at the past helps put the future into context. In this post, we review the relative strength trends at play and give our outlook and some of the things we're watching for in the week ahead.
This week, we're going to highlight our US Index and Sector ETF tables and focus on the rotation we're seeing into more offensive areas of US Equities. We'll then tie this into what we're seeing across the FICC universe.
The stocks in the Dow Jones Transportation Average are getting the bid that they needed for this overall market to continue its march higher. Going back and doing the work, it's hard for stocks as a group to keep ripping without rotation into some of the underperforming areas. Transports were right near the top of our underperformer list for a long time.
Today, let's look deeper into the components of the Dow Jones Transportation Average. Remember there are 20 of them and consist of Airlines, Rails, Trucks, Logistics etc. This chart plots the drawdown from 52week highs on the x-axis and the y-axis represents the performance since June 5th, which was the former highest weekly close for the index:
Welcome to the second edition of “Louis’ Look”, where I share the key lessons I’ve learnt over the past week through interning at All Star Charts. You can read the first post here.
As with any week working with this bunch, plenty was learnt, so let’s jump right into it.
Today we have a special episode of the podcast. I think it's important to take a step back from the markets and Technical Analysis sometimes, and talk about something that is universal to us all. For this episode I invited Morgan Housel to come and talk about the importance of writing. For those of you who have been following my work for a long time, you often hear me talk about the personal benefits of putting my ideas down on paper. Sure, people all over the world get insight into what our firm is thinking, they get steady idea flow from my blog, and in some lucky cases, people might even learn something. But the truth is, my writing is an incredibly selfish endeavor. It forces me to think through the important concepts. And as Morgan talks about in this episode, the inability to express my thoughts in written form probably means my idea is stupid to begin with. The easier it is to write about, the better it will usually be received by our audience.
Morgan Housel is definitely one of my favorite financial writers in...