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This Chart Just Changed Everything

July 1, 2025

Copper just made history.

The price closed June with its highest monthly close ever.

We have the data:

 

Copper futures are printing fresh all-time highs after resolving a prolonged accumulation pattern.

And when copper moves, it isn’t just about metals—it’s about yields, growth, and what comes next.

Next up is a chart of the Copper/Gold ratio versus the 10-year yield

Forget the recent noise, for decades, long-term yields have followed the Copper/Gold ratio. 

When Dr. Copper outperforms, yields rise. 

Every time.

Why? Because copper is associated with construction, production, and demand. 

It’s the heartbeat of the real global economy. 

Gold is fear. Copper is action.

When Copper leads, the market’s not bracing for collapse. Instead, it’s pricing in growth.

This is one of the biggest divergences we've ever seen:

 

In recent years, the Copper/Gold ratio and the 10Y yield have carved out one of the largest divergences in history.

And now we're seeing early signals that the ratio is going to reverse higher...

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[Gold Rush] Fresh Quarterly Highs Signal New Bull Cycle 📈

June 30, 2025

It has been a blockbuster year for precious metals, and the latest monthly and quarterly closes reiterated it.

The entire precious metals complex is breaking out of long-term bases. 

These patterns are the classic signature of new secular bull markets. 

Gold rang the bell first, but now its peers are joining the charge.

Let’s dive into what the data is showing us.

Here's the 2025 scoreboard 👇
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Climbing the “Wall of Worry”

June 30, 2025

You’ve probably heard the phrase “Wall of Worry".

It’s when the stock market keeps grinding higher, even when everything and everyone screams it shouldn’t.

Whether it’s geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, trade wars, rate cut debates, or even how bad the economy supposedly is.

None of this has stopped this market from doing what it’s been doing lately.

The S&P 500 just joined the growing list of indexes around the world that are printing fresh all-time highs.

 

This recent rally has been built on fear. On headlines convincing people that stocks can’t go higher. And yet… they do. Over and over again.

What’s more bullish than that?

Seriously.

New highs don’t happen in downtrends. Period.

This is exactly what healthy market environments look like.

The crowd waiting for the perfect pullback just keeps getting left...

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The Minor Leaguers (06-30-2025)

June 30, 2025

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Welcome to The Minor Leaguers.

We've had some great trades come out of this small-cap-focused column since we launched it back in 2020 and started rotating it with our flagship bottom-up scan, Under the Hood.

For the first year or so, we focused only on Russell 2000 stocks with a market cap between $1 and $2B.

That was fun, but we wanted to branch out a bit and allow some new stocks to find their way onto our list.

We expanded our universe to include some mid-caps.

Nowadays, to make the cut for our Minor Leaguers list, a company must have a market cap between $1 and $4B.

And it doesn't have to be a Russell component — it can be any US-listed equity. With participation expanding around the globe, we want all those ADRs in our universe.

The same price and liquidity filters are applied. Then, as always, we sort by proximity to new...

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Top Down Trade of the Week (6/28/2025)

June 28, 2025

Welcome back for another Top Down Trade of the Week

This is a classic leadership scan.

We start with the best sectors, then drill into the subgroups. We pick one, and then take a look at the top stocks in it. 

This week, Financials is the big standout—climbing five spots in our sector rankings.

 

While Technology holds the top spot, it’s worth highlighting Financials this week. 

The consolidation in the Financial Sector SPDR $XLF is likely to resolve higher soon- just like Technology $XLK, Communications $XLC, and Industrials $XLI did this week. 

These are all very different sectors, but they share one critical thing in common. These groups all represent risk appetite. 

The market is on offense right now, so we’re going to keep fishing in risk-on areas. 

...

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(Commodities Weekly) Late to the Party, but Ready to Dance 🕺

June 27, 2025

We’ve been pounding the table on Copper futures since China started ripping last year.

However, it has been a slower start than we anticipated.

Now, our patience is being rewarded... We're seeing evidence that the trade is heating up.

Copper futures are trading at fresh all-time highs as they play catch-up with Gold futures.

We're also beginning to see the Copper miners play catch-up to the underlying commodity.

This has been on our radar for months, but we've only recently seen significant changes.

Here's what we're talking about 👇 

The red line represents Copper futures, and the blue candlesticks represent the Global X Copper Miners ETF $COPX. 

Historically, these two have danced together.

However, that relationship broke down earlier this year as the futures reached new...

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Bull Market Characteristics

June 27, 2025

New highs and bull flags. 

That’s the picture of the market right now.

The Nasdaq is printing all-time highs. The S&P is knocking on the door. Semiconductors, Industrials, Communications—you name it—they’re all breaking out together.

The playbook has been simple. 

New highs… followed by bull flags… followed by more new highs.

This is what bull markets look like.

And right now, we’re seeing these bullish continuation patterns everywhere.

One group that we think is the next to go is Discretionary.

XLY is coiled up right at its former highs from 2021.

...
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The Hall of Famers (06-27-2025)

June 27, 2025

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Our Hall of Famers list is composed of the 150 largest US-based stocks.

These stocks range from the mega-cap growth behemoths like Apple and Microsoft – with market caps in excess of $2T – to some of the new-age large-cap disruptors such as Moderna, Square, and Snap.

It has all the big names and more.

It doesn’t include ADRs or any stock not domiciled in the US. But don’t worry; we developed a separate universe for that. Click here to check it out.

The Hall of Famers is simple.

We take our list of 150 names and then apply our technical filters so the strongest stocks with the most momentum rise to the top.

Let’s dive right in and check out what these big boys are up to.

Here’s this week’s list:

 

*Click table to enlarge view

We filter out any laggards that are down -5% or more relative to the S&P 500 over the trailing month.

Then, we...

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Junior International Hall of Famers (06-26-2025)

June 26, 2025

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Welcome to The Junior International Hall of Famers.

With the goal of finding more bullish setups, we have decided to expand one of our favorite scans and broaden our regular coverage of the largest US-listed international stocks, or ADRs.

This scan is composed of the next 100 largest stocks by market cap, those that come after the top 100 and are thus covered by the International Hall of Famers universe.

Many of these names will someday graduate and join our original International Hall Of Famers list. The idea here is to catch these big trends as early on as possible.

Let’s dive right in and check out what these future big boys are up to.

This is our Junior International Hall of Famers list:

 

Click table to enlarge view

And here’s how we arrived at it…

We removed laggards which are down 5% or more relative to the ACWI Ex. U.S. Index $ACWX over the trailing...

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Fly Your Flags

June 26, 2025

If you see a bull flag… Buy it. 

It’s what we’ve been telling our clients, and it’s been our mantra internally.

This has been the top pattern to profit from lately. Period.

It’s simple, reliable, and works best in bullish environments like this one.

I’ve been putting more and more money behind these patterns over the past few weeks. Not only do they keep resolving higher, but the reaction legs have been fierce— some going flat-out vertical.

Here are two recent examples to illustrate how I trade this formation.

First up: Micron Technologies $MU.

After a strong leg higher, $MU formed a textbook bull flag. I bought the $MU 7/18 $120 calls...

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Currency Report: Coiled Up

June 25, 2025

The team and I have been digging through our currency charts today, trying to figure out if we should trust these new lows in the Dollar Index.

And the truth is, there is plenty we could say about dollars right now, but I don’t think it would help.

The Dollar Index is going to go in the opposite direction of these bull flags in EUR and GBP.

It’s really that simple. 

And as far as other currencies go, I think we can expect them to follow the majors. Some of them are already breaking out. 

Remember, the major developed currencies started trending well against the dollar first, and then emerging currencies gradually followed. 

I expect that intermarket cadence will continue during the next wave of dollar weakness.

And it looks like it already is. Here’s the Euro and Pound resolving their coils higher against USD:

 

Both of these currencies ramped to fresh multi-year highs in April and have been consolidating in continuation patterns ever since.

This action reminds me of some of the ...