It’s in make or break territory—either the dollar cracks here, just like it did after Trump’s last inauguration, or it holds strong and puts pressure on stocks, commodities and the global economy.
I’m betting the greenback is heading south, and if I’m right, it’ll be a game changer for risk on assets.
Remember what happened to Bitcoin the last time the dollar fell back in 2017?
Historically, a weakening dollar has fueled massive moves across commodities, currencies, cryptocurrencies, and real economy stocks.
This isn’t just a short term trend—it’s the kind of shift that can set the tone for the next major macro cycle.
The dollar’s next move holds the key to what’s ahead for global markets.
Thanks for reading.
And be sure to download this week’s Currency Report!
In this scan, we look to identify the strongest growth stocks as they climb the market-cap ladder from small- to mid- to large- and, ultimately, to mega cap status (over $200B).
Once they graduate from small-cap to mid-cap status (over $2B), they come on our radar. Likewise, when they surpass the roughly $30B mark, they roll off our list.
But the scan doesn't just end there.
We only want to look at the strongest growth industries in the market, as that is typically where these potential 50-baggers come from.
Some of the best performers in recent decades – stocks like Priceline, Amazon, Netflix, Salesforce, and myriad others – would have been on this list at some point during their journey to becoming the market behemoths they are today.
When you look at the stocks in our table, you'll notice we're only focused on Technology and Growth industry groups such as Software, Semiconductors, Online...
Technology stocks have been quite the laggard for some time. In fact, the Large-cap Technology Index ($XLK) is actually down since mid-July.
Sector Rotation is the lifeblood of a bull market. How many times have you heard me say that?
And this cycle is no different. They used to tell me that it was only the Tech stocks that were driving this bull market, and nothing else what's working.
Here we are with the S&P500 hitting new all-time highs literally every single month, and Technology stocks are actually down since July.
As precious metal investors, it's paramount to rotate between the metals themselves and mining companies to maximize our long-term gains.
The miners have historically treated shareholders poorly, but sometimes, it pays handsomely to own them.
Last week, we outlined a key level of interest in one of our favorite intermarket ratios. Based on this chart, we believe now is the time to buy the miners.
But it's not just the miners that've rewarded us for being long. The futures contracts are also trending higher, and we're looking to buy more on strength.
Gold futures resolved another continuation pattern last week:
Donald Trump gets inaugurated today as the next president of the United States.
This comes after a historic republican landslide that betting markets had absolutely correct going into the election.
Anyone who thought it was 4 guys in a room manipulating the markets were actually just hoping that was the case, because they didn't like what the betting markets were saying.
Tough shit.
You ignored the market and it cost you.
Bitcoin is making new all-time highs this morning as the first Publicly Pro-Crypto President in history is about to take office.
You don't have to like the guy. In fact, you can hate Trump. Or love him. It doesn't matter when it comes to how we're going to profit from it.
And that's what this is all about.
If you let your politics influence your decision making in the market, you're an extremist. And there's no room for extremism in turning a profit.
Separate the two, or it will not end well. That I promise you.
Welcome back to Under the Hood, where we'll cover all the action for the two weeks ended January 3, 2025. This report is published bi-weekly, in rotation with The Minor Leaguers.
What we do here is analyze the most popular stocks during the week and find opportunities to either join in and ride these momentum names higher, or fade the crowd and bet against them.
We use a variety of sources to generate the list of most popular names.
There are so many new data sources available that all we need to do is organize and curate them in a way that shows us exactly what we want: a list of stocks that are seeing an unusual increase in investor interest.
Click here for a behind-the-scenes look at our process.
Whether we’re measuring increasing interest based on large institutional purchases, unusual options activity, or simply our proprietary lists of trending tickers, there’s...
This is a bull market for stocks. If you're not making money in this environment, then you should probably reevaluate your strategies.
I know for a fact that I've witnessed individuals, who are clearly mentally ill, fight this historic rally pretending that there's some kind of epic credit crisis coming any day now (for over 2 years lol).
Whether it's fake breadth deterioration, or the "yen carry trade", or lies about Gold sending some kind of warning, or the Fed ruining everything, or small-caps underperforming, or Trump and his Magas.
It's always something.
These people will make up anything in their heads, no matter how outrageous, in order to justify poor decisions. Their egos are too fragile.
Good.
It might be a little sad to have to watch them ruin their lives. But it's great for us who recognize their vulnerabilities and have chosen to just profit from it all instead.
You see, when I hear credit crisis, I naturally look at credit spreads to see what's going on.
The answer is: NOTHING.
Still nothing...
Credit spreads are as tight as they've been this entire bull market: