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(Commodities Weekly) Holding the Line 🛡️

May 17, 2025

The S&P GSCI Commodity Index just bounced from a critical level… again.

You don’t need to be a technician to see the importance of 500 on this chart. 

It was the top in 2018. It was the ceiling again in 2021. 

Since then, it’s become the most important shelf of support in the entire commodity complex.

Now, after retesting this level multiple times in the last two years, we’re once again sitting on the edge.

Polarity is like magic 🔮 

Support and resistance are not random. 

This 500-level has acted as a magnet for prices in recent years. 

If this shelf gives way, it opens the door to a much deeper reset in the commodities market.

However, for now, the level is holding steady.

Let’s talk about what this index is made of...

The S&P GSCI is primarily focused on one thing above all else: Energy.

  • Energy makes up 57.4% of the index in 2025, led by:
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The Strazza Letter

Down with the Dollar

May 16, 2025

The US Dollar Index $DXY continues to sit near the top of our macro checklist.

It’s been one of the more important tells of the cycle, not just for currencies—but for equities, commodities, and global risk assets.

Traditionally, the dollar moves opposite to US stocks. But as technicians, we know better than to marry intermarket correlations. These relationships ebb and flow, strengthen, weaken, invert, and sometimes go completely quiet. That’s normal.

Late last year, a big shift took place as stocks began to...

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[Options Premium] #FAAFO

May 16, 2025

I talk all the time about how the options market makers are not stupid. Options are priced the way they are, when they are, because options market makers know what they are doing. Usually.

But once in a blue moon, they can get caught sleeping. 

I think I may have found one such opportunity and I want to pounce on it today.

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[Options P2P] Daily Digest 5/16/25

May 16, 2025

In today’s Daily Digest, we’ll review the following:

  1. No new positions today.
  2. Rolling XRT to July options.
  3. Closed IBB at profit target.
  4. Current status of open campaigns.
  5. Volatility Snapshot.

Let’s dig in!

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The Hall of Famers (05-16-2025)

May 16, 2025

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Our Hall of Famers list is composed of the 150 largest US-based stocks.

These stocks range from the mega-cap growth behemoths like Apple and Microsoft – with market caps in excess of $2T – to some of the new-age large-cap disruptors such as Moderna, Square, and Snap.

It has all the big names and more.

It doesn’t include ADRs or any stock not domiciled in the US. But don’t worry; we developed a separate universe for that. Click here to check it out.

The Hall of Famers is simple.

We take our list of 150 names and then apply our technical filters so the strongest stocks with the most momentum rise to the top.

Let’s dive right in and check out what these big boys are up to.

Here’s this week’s list:

 

*Click table to enlarge view

We filter out any laggards that are down -5% or more relative to the S&P 500 over the trailing month.

Then, we...

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Junior Hall of Famers (05-15-2025)

May 15, 2025

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

We love our bottoms-up scans here at All Star Charts. We tend to get really creative when making new universes as we want to be sure they will deliver us the best opportunities the market has to offer.

However, when it comes to this one, it couldn't be any simpler!

With the goal of finding more bullish setups, we have decided to expand one of our favorite scans and broaden our regular coverage of the largest US stocks.

Welcome to The Junior Hall of Famers.

This scan is composed of the next 150 largest stocks by market cap, those that come after the top 150 and are thus covered by the Hall of Famers universe. Many of these names will someday graduate and join our original Hall Of Famers list. The idea here is to catch these big trends as early on as possible.

There is no need to overcomplicate things. Market cap is a quality filter at the end of the day. It only grows if price is rising. That's good enough for us.

The bottom line is it is a bull market. We...

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[Options P2P] Daily Digest 5/15/25

May 15, 2025

In today’s Daily Digest, we’ll review the following:

  1. New position in XLV.
  2. No adjustments are needed today.
  3. Closed XME at profit target.
  4. Current status of open campaigns.
  5. Volatility Snapshot.

Let’s dig in!

2 to 100 Club,
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2 to 100 Club (05-14-2025)

May 14, 2025

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Welcome to The 2 to 100 Club.

In this scan, we look to identify the strongest growth stocks as they climb the market-cap ladder from small- to mid- to large- and, ultimately, to mega cap status (over $200B).

Once they graduate from small-cap to mid-cap status (over $2B), they come on our radar. Likewise, when they surpass the roughly $30B mark, they roll off our list.

But the scan doesn't just end there.

We only want to look at the strongest growth industries in the market, as that is typically where these potential 50-baggers come from.

Some of the best performers in recent decades – stocks like Priceline, Amazon, Netflix, Salesforce, and myriad others – would have been on this list at some point during their journey to becoming the market behemoths they are today.

When you look at the stocks in our table, you'll notice we're only focused on Technology and Growth industry groups such as Software, Semiconductors, Online...

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[Options Premium] What's a Quantum?

May 14, 2025

Going to keep this post short today. I'm writing live from the Portfolio Accelerator event in New Orleans. Our friend Riley Rosebee is presenting as I'm typing and he is talking about stocks in companies The Jetson's would invest in.

One he brought up caught my attention because the chart looks ripe for a big pop.

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[Options P2P] Daily Digest 5/14/25

May 14, 2025

In today’s Daily Digest, we’ll review the following:

  1. No new trades today.
  2. Adjustment to XOP position.
  3. No exits since the last report.
  4. Current status of open campaigns.
  5. Volatility Snapshot.

Let’s dig in!