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The Minor Leaguers (09-23-2024)

September 23, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Welcome to The Minor Leaguers.

We've had some great trades come out of this small-cap-focused column since we launched it back in 2020 and started rotating it with our flagship bottom-up scan, Under the Hood.

For the first year or so, we focused only on Russell 2000 stocks with a market cap between $1 and $2B.

That was fun, but we wanted to branch out a bit and allow some new stocks to find their way onto our list.

We expanded our universe to include some mid-caps.

Nowadays, to make the cut for our Minor Leaguers list, a company must have a market cap between $1 and $4B.

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[Options] The Bull Market is On!

September 23, 2024

 

No need to get cute, and no need for an elaborate explanation of what's going on.

Quite simply, we're in a bull market. And it would be irresponsible to think that technology and high beta names won't be playing catchup soon.

We could try to pick the individual winners, or we can just buy a basket. Today's trade is that.

Here's a current one-year chart of ARK Innovation ETF $ARKK:

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[Options P2P] Daily Digest 9/24/24

September 23, 2024

In today’s Daily Digest, we’ll review the following:

  1. No new positions today.
  2. Rolled XLI position to November options.
  3. Exited IWM (profit), XRT (profit), and XLK (loss).
  4. Current status of open campaigns.
  5. Volatility Snapshot.

Let’s dig in!

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Risk-On. It's just math.

September 23, 2024

The world's important stock market index just made new all-time highs, again.

We don't know what the market is going to do next. No one does.

But here's what we do know.

Going back and looking at all the data since the beginning of time, we know FOR A FACT, that there is nothing more bullish for a stock than the price going up.

We know.

We have the data.

So do you!

But have you gone back and actually taken the time to count?

The most bullish thing a stock can do is go up in price.

Here is the Dow making new all-time highs (in price), after breaking out earlier this year from a multi-year bear market.

Options Paid to Play

[Options P2P] Daily Digest 9/23/24

September 23, 2024

In today’s Daily Digest, we’ll review the following:

  1. No new positions today.
  2. Rolled XME position to November options.
  3. Exited XLB position for a "profit."
  4. Current status of open campaigns.
  5. Volatility Snapshot.

Let’s dig in!

All Star Charts Crypto

🔍 Positive Developments

September 23, 2024

Momentum has returned back to the crypto asset class over the short term.

Although there is work to be done, it is positive to see the S&P 500 reclaim a new high and Bitcoin traders return back to making money.

I have changed my intermediate bias to bullish while keeping my short term bias at neutral.

I remain insistent on the value of patience in this tape.

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Junior Hall of Famers (09-22-2024)

September 22, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

We love our bottoms-up scans here at All Star Charts. We tend to get really creative when making new universes as we want to be sure they will deliver us the best opportunities the market has to offer.

However, when it comes to this one, it couldn't be any simpler!

With the goal of finding more bullish setups, we have decided to expand one of our favorite scans and broaden our regular coverage of the largest US stocks.

Welcome to The Junior Hall of Famers.

This scan is composed of the next 150 largest stocks by market cap, those that come after the top 150 and are thus covered by the Hall of Famers universe. Many of these names will someday graduate and join our original Hall Of Famers list. The idea here is to catch these big trends as early on as possible.

There is no need to overcomplicate things. Market cap is a quality filter at the end of the day. It only grows if price is rising. That's good enough for us.

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These Stocks Drive Market Returns

September 22, 2024

I like to give credit to where credit is due.

If I learn something from someone and I quote it, I always do my best to also mention who I learned that from. 

When someone on my team makes a good call, or builds something really valuable, I'm the first one who stands up to give them credit for it.

But this one is mine. I'll take the credit for this list.

Here's the thing though. While I did think building this would be a good idea, it has exceeded expectations across the board.

I may have made a good call. But I'm still a dummy for not realizing just how valuable this would end up being for us. 

The market is humbling that way.

Without any further ado, let me present you with the All Star Charts Hall of Famers. 

These are the largest 150 companies in America by market-cap. These are the stocks that are driving returns. These are the names that need to do well if you want your favorite indexes to do well too,

You guys know how much I appreciate the value we get from the Dow Jones Industrial Average. 

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Energy Tests Key Levels

September 21, 2024

It has been over 1,600 days since Crude Oil futures traded below zero in 2020, which preceded one of its best 2-year bull markets in history.

Since the peak in early 2022, energy has been a tough trade for those with trend-following strategies and a favorable one for mean-reversion strategies.

Crude Oil futures are at the lower bound of a multi-year range, and the Energy Sector SPDR $XLE has the fewest percent of stocks above their 200-day moving average out of all 11 sectors. 

Energy has been a laggard recently.

However, it's important to remember where energy has come from. Crude Oil futures went from below 0 to 130 in less than two years, and the XLE is the second best-performing sector since Covid, lagging only Technology $XLK:

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Worst Bull Market Ever?

September 20, 2024

We just got done with our Fall Portfolio Accelerator in Chicago.

It went even better than expected.

I think we're going to make so much money from the ideas and strategies we discussed over the past two days.

It's not even fair to have so many smart traders and investors in one room. Not to mention, we also got to go to the Cubs game last night, the CBOT on Wednesday and a tour of the Pat Tillman Foundation as well.

All around I think it was a huge win for all of us. Our entire team got to fly in from all over the world to spend some time in Chicago, many of them for the first time.