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[Options P2P] Daily Digest 9/30/24

September 30, 2024

In today’s Daily Digest, we’ll review the following:

  1. New position in EEM.
  2. No adjustments are needed today.
  3. No positions were exited since the last report.
  4. Current status of open campaigns.
  5. Volatility Snapshot.

Let’s dig in!

All Star Charts Crypto

🔍 Approaching the Moon Phase

September 30, 2024

There are few updates.

I am still bullish over the coming months and quarters. Crypto looks to be shaping up rather nicely.

Over the short-term, however, there is a small bearish price setup.

 

All Star Charts Premium

Short Sellers Set Sail

September 28, 2024

When it comes to our short-squeeze universe, the best trades tend to come from the junkiest stocks. 

In late 2022, we went dumpster diving for the most beat-up and heavily shorted stocks in the market and had some big winners. We were at the depths of the bear cycle, and the charts looked terrible. They were supposed to be zeros, but they weren't.

Just look at how Carvana $CVNA has performed since we were buying it at 8.25 almost 2-years ago.

Another junky group that has been working recently is the Marine Shipper industry.

Our custom Marine Shipping Index is on the verge of reclaiming the 61.8% retracement of its prior drawdown:

All Star Charts Premium, ASC Mastermind

ASC Mastermind Lab: Understanding True Diversification with Chris Cain

September 27, 2024

Below is the first ASC Mastermind Lab Course. These are special videos that will be made available throughout the duration of the 12-week course featuring conversations with professionals from across Wall Street discussing topics in their expertise. 

If you watched the first Mastermind class on Defining Personal Objectives, you heard me talk about diversification. Well, meet Chris Cain. Chris is the U.S. Quantitative Equity Strategist for Bloomberg Intelligence, a division of Bloomberg LP, and he literally studies diversification. 

Chris and I discussed mathematics behind diversification, and how diversification can impact your long-term returns more than you even know. 

Enjoy this conversation. 

 

All Star Charts Premium, All Star Charts Gold Rush

China Ripping? Buy Copper

September 27, 2024

Have you heard about China?

Chinese stocks just had their best week in history, following the People's Bank of China's (PBOC) announcement of rate cuts, among other stimulative actions.

In July, we talked about Copper and its base and industrial metal peers showing broad weakness. But that seems to be changing...

China is the world's largest consumer of refined copper, so base and industrial metals have benefited from the recent pivot from the PBOC.

Chinese stocks and copper futures have been positively correlated for years:

All Star Charts Premium

Risk vs. Reward for the Bond Trade

September 27, 2024

Despite the gloomy headlines the market received this summer, major stock market sectors are showing resilience across the board, with new signs of life emerging. 

A shift seems to be on the horizon.

At the moment, we are long bonds. We like bonds, and the charts tell us we are right to like bonds here, but what does the future hold?

If inflation starts ticking up again, the market usually pivots toward the reflation trade—favoring sectors like energy, small caps, and financials as rates rise. (I am not saying that this is happening. I am saying that we need to keep an eye on this.) 

Energy has not participated in the bull run this year. When we compare XLE to some of the best stocks this cycle, like XLK, the performance gap is wild.

The chart below shows XLK up roughly 40% over the trailing 12 months while XLE is negative.

Meanwhile, the rally in bonds appears to be slowing down. 

All Star Charts Premium

International Hall of Famers (09-27-2024)

September 27, 2024

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Our International Hall of Famers list is composed of the 100 largest US-listed international stocks, or ADRs.

We've also sprinkled in some of the largest ADRs from countries that did not make the market cap cut. 

These stocks range from some well-known mega-cap multinationals such as Toyota Motor and Royal Dutch Shell to some large-cap global disruptors such as Sea Ltd and Shopify.

It's got all the big names and more–but only those that are based outside the US. You can find all the largest US stocks on our original Hall of Famers list.

The beauty of these scans is really in their simplicity.

We take the largest names each week and then apply technical filters in a way that the strongest stocks with the most momentum rise to the top.

Based on the market environment, we can also flip the scan on its head and filter for weakness.

Options Paid to Play

[Options P2P] Daily Digest 9/27/24

September 27, 2024

In today’s Daily Digest, we’ll review the following:

  1. No new positions today.
  2. Rolled XLC position to November options.
  3. No positions were exited since the last report.
  4. Current status of open campaigns.
  5. Volatility Snapshot.

Let’s dig in!

Options Paid to Play

[Options P2P] Daily Digest 9/26/24

September 26, 2024

In today’s Daily Digest, we’ll review the following:

  1. No new positions today.
  2. Adjustment to XME position.
  3. No positions were exited since the last report.
  4. Current status of open campaigns.
  5. Volatility Snapshot.

Let’s dig in!